Recent economic data releases have kept trader sentiment finely balanced for the July 2026 Core PCE year-over-year reading, with market-implied odds clustered evenly across the 3.0–3.6% range. Persistent moderation in goods prices and shelter costs has offset sticky services inflation, while the latest labor market figures show cooling wage growth without signaling recessionary weakness. The Federal Reserve’s June 2026 communications reinforced a data-dependent stance, leaving the implied policy path sensitive to whether the print undershoots or exceeds the 3.2–3.4% band that aligns with the 2% target trajectory. With the release expected within days, incoming high-frequency indicators such as import prices and retail sales will likely determine the final resolution as traders weigh these competing inflation signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于≤3.0% 38%
3.1% 38%
3.2% 38%
3.3% 38%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
≤3.0%
38%
3.1%
38%
3.2%
38%
3.3%
38%
3.4%
38%
3.5%
38%
3.6%+
38%
≤3.0% 38%
3.1% 38%
3.2% 38%
3.3% 38%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
≤3.0%
$0 交易量
38%
3.1%
$0 交易量
38%
3.2%
$0 交易量
38%
3.3%
$0 交易量
38%
3.4%
$0 交易量
38%
3.5%
$0 交易量
38%
3.6%+
$0 交易量
38%
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent economic data releases have kept trader sentiment finely balanced for the July 2026 Core PCE year-over-year reading, with market-implied odds clustered evenly across the 3.0–3.6% range. Persistent moderation in goods prices and shelter costs has offset sticky services inflation, while the latest labor market figures show cooling wage growth without signaling recessionary weakness. The Federal Reserve’s June 2026 communications reinforced a data-dependent stance, leaving the implied policy path sensitive to whether the print undershoots or exceeds the 3.2–3.4% band that aligns with the 2% target trajectory. With the release expected within days, incoming high-frequency indicators such as import prices and retail sales will likely determine the final resolution as traders weigh these competing inflation signals.
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent economic data releases have kept trader sentiment finely balanced for the July 2026 Core PCE year-over-year reading, with market-implied odds clustered evenly across the 3.0–3.6% range. Persistent moderation in goods prices and shelter costs has offset sticky services inflation, while the latest labor market figures show cooling wage growth without signaling recessionary weakness. The Federal Reserve’s June 2026 communications reinforced a data-dependent stance, leaving the implied policy path sensitive to whether the print undershoots or exceeds the 3.2–3.4% band that aligns with the 2% target trajectory. With the release expected within days, incoming high-frequency indicators such as import prices and retail sales will likely determine the final resolution as traders weigh these competing inflation signals.
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent economic data releases have kept trader sentiment finely balanced for the July 2026 Core PCE year-over-year reading, with market-implied odds clustered evenly across the 3.0–3.6% range. Persistent moderation in goods prices and shelter costs has offset sticky services inflation, while the latest labor market figures show cooling wage growth without signaling recessionary weakness. The Federal Reserve’s June 2026 communications reinforced a data-dependent stance, leaving the implied policy path sensitive to whether the print undershoots or exceeds the 3.2–3.4% band that aligns with the 2% target trajectory. With the release expected within days, incoming high-frequency indicators such as import prices and retail sales will likely determine the final resolution as traders weigh these competing inflation signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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