The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.70% as of mid-August 2026 after touching highs around 4.75% in July, reflects trader focus on sticky core inflation, elevated term premiums, and heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits. These factors have sustained upward pressure despite Federal Reserve patience on policy easing, with markets pricing in limited near-term rate cuts. Stronger-than-expected growth data and geopolitical risks that could lift oil prices and inflation expectations remain key swing variables. Upcoming CPI releases, labor reports, and FOMC communications through year-end will likely drive any re-pricing of the yield peak before 2027 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2027年之前， 10年期美国国债收益率会有多高？
2027年之前， 10年期美国国债收益率会有多高？
$285,972 交易量
2026-12-31
4.8%
64%
5.0%
29%
5.2%
7%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
6%
6.0%
6%
$285,972 交易量
4.8%
$59,302 交易量
64%
5.0%
$81,122 交易量
29%
5.2%
$26,278 交易量
7%
5.5%
$5,691 交易量
7%
5.7%
$4,234 交易量
6%
6.0%
$3,059 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.70% as of mid-August 2026 after touching highs around 4.75% in July, reflects trader focus on sticky core inflation, elevated term premiums, and heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits. These factors have sustained upward pressure despite Federal Reserve patience on policy easing, with markets pricing in limited near-term rate cuts. Stronger-than-expected growth data and geopolitical risks that could lift oil prices and inflation expectations remain key swing variables. Upcoming CPI releases, labor reports, and FOMC communications through year-end will likely drive any re-pricing of the yield peak before 2027 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
交易量
$285,972结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.70% as of mid-August 2026 after touching highs around 4.75% in July, reflects trader focus on sticky core inflation, elevated term premiums, and heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits. These factors have sustained upward pressure despite Federal Reserve patience on policy easing, with markets pricing in limited near-term rate cuts. Stronger-than-expected growth data and geopolitical risks that could lift oil prices and inflation expectations remain key swing variables. Upcoming CPI releases, labor reports, and FOMC communications through year-end will likely drive any re-pricing of the yield peak before 2027 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
交易量
$285,972结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.70% as of mid-August 2026 after touching highs around 4.75% in July, reflects trader focus on sticky core inflation, elevated term premiums, and heavy Treasury issuance amid fiscal deficits. These factors have sustained upward pressure despite Federal Reserve patience on policy easing, with markets pricing in limited near-term rate cuts. Stronger-than-expected growth data and geopolitical risks that could lift oil prices and inflation expectations remain key swing variables. Upcoming CPI releases, labor reports, and FOMC communications through year-end will likely drive any re-pricing of the yield peak before 2027 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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