Recent energy price pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven Canada's headline CPI to 2.4% year-over-year in March 2026, up sharply from 1.8% in February, prompting the Bank of Canada to revise its 2026 average inflation projection upward to 2.3% in the April Monetary Policy Report. This development underpins trader consensus around the 2.5–2.9% range, as markets price in the temporary gasoline-driven boost while anticipating moderation toward the 2% target by 2027 amid soft domestic demand and excess supply conditions. Core measures remain contained near 2.3%, supporting expectations that the uptick will prove transitory unless oil prices sustain higher levels. The next policy rate decision on June 10 will provide further clarity on whether sustained energy costs shift the implied rate path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.5–2.9% 48.4%
3.5-3.9% 30.7%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.7%
$16,408 交易量
$16,408 交易量
低于1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
36%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
48%
3.0-3.4%
36%
3.5-3.9%
31%
4.0%及以上
33%
2.5–2.9% 48.4%
3.5-3.9% 30.7%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.7%
$16,408 交易量
$16,408 交易量
低于1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
36%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
48%
3.0-3.4%
36%
3.5-3.9%
31%
4.0%及以上
33%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
市场开放时间: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven Canada's headline CPI to 2.4% year-over-year in March 2026, up sharply from 1.8% in February, prompting the Bank of Canada to revise its 2026 average inflation projection upward to 2.3% in the April Monetary Policy Report. This development underpins trader consensus around the 2.5–2.9% range, as markets price in the temporary gasoline-driven boost while anticipating moderation toward the 2% target by 2027 amid soft domestic demand and excess supply conditions. Core measures remain contained near 2.3%, supporting expectations that the uptick will prove transitory unless oil prices sustain higher levels. The next policy rate decision on June 10 will provide further clarity on whether sustained energy costs shift the implied rate path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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