Recent euro area GDP data and ECB staff projections released in mid-September 2026 anchor trader positioning around the 0.8-1.1% range for Q3 2026 growth. Eurostat’s upward revision to Q2 GDP to +0.6% quarter-on-quarter, driven partly by Irish data but supported by broader demand components, combined with improving PMI readings and receding uncertainty, supports expectations for a modest slowdown to around 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in Q3. Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict prompted the ECB’s 25 basis point rate hike on September 10, lifting the deposit facility to 2.50% while highlighting resilience in manufacturing and services. Industrial production’s slight July decline and China-related competitiveness headwinds introduce downside risks, yet the market-implied odds reflect the consensus view that growth will stabilize near recent quarterly rates rather than accelerate or contract sharply.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.8-1.1% 56%
1.2-1.5% 25.3%
0.4-0.7% 12.4%
0.0-0.3% 1.0%
$62,454 交易量
$62,454 交易量
2026-10-30
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
1%
0.4-0.7%
12%
0.8-1.1%
56%
1.2-1.5%
25%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 56%
1.2-1.5% 25.3%
0.4-0.7% 12.4%
0.0-0.3% 1.0%
$62,454 交易量
$62,454 交易量
2026-10-30
<0.0%
$1,680 交易量
1%
0.0-0.3%
$1,521 交易量
1%
0.4-0.7%
$9,945 交易量
12%
0.8-1.1%
$42,738 交易量
56%
1.2-1.5%
$3,542 交易量
25%
1.6-1.9%
$1,649 交易量
<1%
2.0%+
$1,379 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent euro area GDP data and ECB staff projections released in mid-September 2026 anchor trader positioning around the 0.8-1.1% range for Q3 2026 growth. Eurostat’s upward revision to Q2 GDP to +0.6% quarter-on-quarter, driven partly by Irish data but supported by broader demand components, combined with improving PMI readings and receding uncertainty, supports expectations for a modest slowdown to around 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in Q3. Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict prompted the ECB’s 25 basis point rate hike on September 10, lifting the deposit facility to 2.50% while highlighting resilience in manufacturing and services. Industrial production’s slight July decline and China-related competitiveness headwinds introduce downside risks, yet the market-implied odds reflect the consensus view that growth will stabilize near recent quarterly rates rather than accelerate or contract sharply.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
交易量
$62,454结束日期
2026-10-30市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent euro area GDP data and ECB staff projections released in mid-September 2026 anchor trader positioning around the 0.8-1.1% range for Q3 2026 growth. Eurostat’s upward revision to Q2 GDP to +0.6% quarter-on-quarter, driven partly by Irish data but supported by broader demand components, combined with improving PMI readings and receding uncertainty, supports expectations for a modest slowdown to around 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in Q3. Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict prompted the ECB’s 25 basis point rate hike on September 10, lifting the deposit facility to 2.50% while highlighting resilience in manufacturing and services. Industrial production’s slight July decline and China-related competitiveness headwinds introduce downside risks, yet the market-implied odds reflect the consensus view that growth will stabilize near recent quarterly rates rather than accelerate or contract sharply.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$62,454结束日期
2026-10-30市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETRecent euro area GDP data and ECB staff projections released in mid-September 2026 anchor trader positioning around the 0.8-1.1% range for Q3 2026 growth. Eurostat’s upward revision to Q2 GDP to +0.6% quarter-on-quarter, driven partly by Irish data but supported by broader demand components, combined with improving PMI readings and receding uncertainty, supports expectations for a modest slowdown to around 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in Q3. Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict prompted the ECB’s 25 basis point rate hike on September 10, lifting the deposit facility to 2.50% while highlighting resilience in manufacturing and services. Industrial production’s slight July decline and China-related competitiveness headwinds introduce downside risks, yet the market-implied odds reflect the consensus view that growth will stabilize near recent quarterly rates rather than accelerate or contract sharply.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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