Recent July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 55.6—the strongest reading since May 2022 and well above the 54.0 consensus—has anchored trader expectations for the August release around the mid-55 range. Accelerated production, sustained new orders, and employment returning to expansion territory reflect broad-based momentum fueled by AI-driven capital spending and inventory rebuilding, partially offset by tariff-related front-loading and elevated prices. With closely matched probabilities across 54.0–56.9 outcomes, sentiment hinges on whether August survey respondents report continued subindex gains or moderation in new orders and supplier deliveries ahead of the September 1 release. Market-implied odds embed this uncertainty while pricing in the sector’s seventh consecutive expansion month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于54.0–54.9 19%
55.0–55.9 18%
56.0–56.9 17%
52.0–52.9 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
低于51.0
5%
51.0–51.9
5%
52.0–52.9
13%
53.0–53.9
12%
54.0–54.9
19%
55.0–55.9
18%
56.0–56.9
17%
57.0–57.9
13%
58.0–58.9
12%
59.0及以上
5%
54.0–54.9 19%
55.0–55.9 18%
56.0–56.9 17%
52.0–52.9 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
低于51.0
$153 交易量
5%
51.0–51.9
$148 交易量
5%
52.0–52.9
$65 交易量
13%
53.0–53.9
$102 交易量
12%
54.0–54.9
$106 交易量
19%
55.0–55.9
$96 交易量
18%
56.0–56.9
$100 交易量
17%
57.0–57.9
$104 交易量
13%
58.0–58.9
$65 交易量
12%
59.0及以上
$65 交易量
5%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 55.6—the strongest reading since May 2022 and well above the 54.0 consensus—has anchored trader expectations for the August release around the mid-55 range. Accelerated production, sustained new orders, and employment returning to expansion territory reflect broad-based momentum fueled by AI-driven capital spending and inventory rebuilding, partially offset by tariff-related front-loading and elevated prices. With closely matched probabilities across 54.0–56.9 outcomes, sentiment hinges on whether August survey respondents report continued subindex gains or moderation in new orders and supplier deliveries ahead of the September 1 release. Market-implied odds embed this uncertainty while pricing in the sector’s seventh consecutive expansion month.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,005结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 55.6—the strongest reading since May 2022 and well above the 54.0 consensus—has anchored trader expectations for the August release around the mid-55 range. Accelerated production, sustained new orders, and employment returning to expansion territory reflect broad-based momentum fueled by AI-driven capital spending and inventory rebuilding, partially offset by tariff-related front-loading and elevated prices. With closely matched probabilities across 54.0–56.9 outcomes, sentiment hinges on whether August survey respondents report continued subindex gains or moderation in new orders and supplier deliveries ahead of the September 1 release. Market-implied odds embed this uncertainty while pricing in the sector’s seventh consecutive expansion month.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$1,005结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI data at 55.6—the strongest reading since May 2022 and well above the 54.0 consensus—has anchored trader expectations for the August release around the mid-55 range. Accelerated production, sustained new orders, and employment returning to expansion territory reflect broad-based momentum fueled by AI-driven capital spending and inventory rebuilding, partially offset by tariff-related front-loading and elevated prices. With closely matched probabilities across 54.0–56.9 outcomes, sentiment hinges on whether August survey respondents report continued subindex gains or moderation in new orders and supplier deliveries ahead of the September 1 release. Market-implied odds embed this uncertainty while pricing in the sector’s seventh consecutive expansion month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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