Recent soft readings in Japan's core CPI, holding at 1.6% YoY through June 2026 and below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for multiple months, underpin the near-even split between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Traders weigh the BOJ's lowered fiscal 2026 forecast range of 2.3-2.7% against persistent yen depreciation pressures, subdued energy costs after oil price declines, and still-modest wage pass-through. Core-core measures excluding fresh food and energy remain firmer near 1.7%, highlighting sticky domestic components that could push outcomes higher if import costs rebound or consumption strengthens. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, the next BOJ Outlook Report, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter inflation expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于≤1.9% 52.3%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 1.3%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$36,520 交易量
$36,520 交易量
2027-01-22
≤1.9%
52%
2.0-2.4%
44%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 52.3%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 1.3%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$36,520 交易量
$36,520 交易量
2027-01-22
≤1.9%
$17,315 交易量
52%
2.0-2.4%
$10,593 交易量
44%
2.5-2.9%
$5,149 交易量
1%
3.0-3.4%
$1,322 交易量
1%
3.5-3.9%
$800 交易量
<1%
4.0%+
$1,339 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent soft readings in Japan's core CPI, holding at 1.6% YoY through June 2026 and below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for multiple months, underpin the near-even split between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Traders weigh the BOJ's lowered fiscal 2026 forecast range of 2.3-2.7% against persistent yen depreciation pressures, subdued energy costs after oil price declines, and still-modest wage pass-through. Core-core measures excluding fresh food and energy remain firmer near 1.7%, highlighting sticky domestic components that could push outcomes higher if import costs rebound or consumption strengthens. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, the next BOJ Outlook Report, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter inflation expectations.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
市场开放时间： Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
交易量
$36,520结束日期
2027-01-22市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent soft readings in Japan's core CPI, holding at 1.6% YoY through June 2026 and below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for multiple months, underpin the near-even split between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Traders weigh the BOJ's lowered fiscal 2026 forecast range of 2.3-2.7% against persistent yen depreciation pressures, subdued energy costs after oil price declines, and still-modest wage pass-through. Core-core measures excluding fresh food and energy remain firmer near 1.7%, highlighting sticky domestic components that could push outcomes higher if import costs rebound or consumption strengthens. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, the next BOJ Outlook Report, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter inflation expectations.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
交易量
$36,520结束日期
2027-01-22市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent soft readings in Japan's core CPI, holding at 1.6% YoY through June 2026 and below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for multiple months, underpin the near-even split between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Traders weigh the BOJ's lowered fiscal 2026 forecast range of 2.3-2.7% against persistent yen depreciation pressures, subdued energy costs after oil price declines, and still-modest wage pass-through. Core-core measures excluding fresh food and energy remain firmer near 1.7%, highlighting sticky domestic components that could push outcomes higher if import costs rebound or consumption strengthens. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, the next BOJ Outlook Report, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter inflation expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题