Recent readings of Japan's core-core CPI, which excludes fresh food and energy, have hovered between 1.7% and 2.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, with Tokyo data printing at 2.0% in July amid sticky service prices and wage pass-through. Bank of Japan projections for fiscal 2026 place the measure near 2.2-2.5%, supported by sustained domestic demand and shunto wage gains, though government energy subsidies and favorable base effects have tempered broader readings. Yen depreciation and elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions add upside risks to import costs. These dynamics underpin the market's heaviest weighting on the 2.0-2.4% outcome, while the sizable share for ≤1.9% reflects expectations that policy measures could cap the print below 2%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 40%
2.5-2.9% 5.0%
4.0%及以上 4.7%
$36,104 交易量
$36,104 交易量
≤1.9%
40%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
5%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
1%
4.0%及以上
5%
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 40%
2.5-2.9% 5.0%
4.0%及以上 4.7%
$36,104 交易量
$36,104 交易量
≤1.9%
40%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
5%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
1%
4.0%及以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
市场开放时间: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent readings of Japan's core-core CPI, which excludes fresh food and energy, have hovered between 1.7% and 2.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, with Tokyo data printing at 2.0% in July amid sticky service prices and wage pass-through. Bank of Japan projections for fiscal 2026 place the measure near 2.2-2.5%, supported by sustained domestic demand and shunto wage gains, though government energy subsidies and favorable base effects have tempered broader readings. Yen depreciation and elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions add upside risks to import costs. These dynamics underpin the market's heaviest weighting on the 2.0-2.4% outcome, while the sizable share for ≤1.9% reflects expectations that policy measures could cap the print below 2%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题