Recent readings show Japan's core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) holding at 1.9% year-over-year in August 2026, below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for a fifth straight month, while the core measure ex-fresh food eased to 1.7%. Trader positioning favoring the 2.0-2.4% band for 2026 reflects BoJ projections of underlying inflation accelerating toward or above 2% in the second half of fiscal 2026, driven by yen depreciation, elevated crude oil prices amid Middle East tensions, AI-related semiconductor demand, and ongoing wage-price pass-through. The central bank's September rate hike to 1.25% and upside risk warnings underscore these pressures, though subsidies and base effects have capped near-term prints. Market-implied odds price in a gradual convergence to the target without sharp overshoots.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.0-2.4% 78%
≤1.9% 23%
2.5-2.9% <1%
4.0%及以上 <1%
$61,116 交易量
$61,116 交易量
2027-02-12
≤1.9%
23%
2.0-2.4%
78%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%及以上
1%
2.0-2.4% 78%
≤1.9% 23%
2.5-2.9% <1%
4.0%及以上 <1%
$61,116 交易量
$61,116 交易量
2027-02-12
≤1.9%
$17,276 交易量
23%
2.0-2.4%
$26,450 交易量
78%
2.5-2.9%
$11,369 交易量
1%
3.0-3.4%
$2,464 交易量
<1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,485 交易量
<1%
4.0%及以上
$2,072 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings show Japan's core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) holding at 1.9% year-over-year in August 2026, below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for a fifth straight month, while the core measure ex-fresh food eased to 1.7%. Trader positioning favoring the 2.0-2.4% band for 2026 reflects BoJ projections of underlying inflation accelerating toward or above 2% in the second half of fiscal 2026, driven by yen depreciation, elevated crude oil prices amid Middle East tensions, AI-related semiconductor demand, and ongoing wage-price pass-through. The central bank's September rate hike to 1.25% and upside risk warnings underscore these pressures, though subsidies and base effects have capped near-term prints. Market-implied odds price in a gradual convergence to the target without sharp overshoots.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
市场开放时间： Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
交易量
$61,116结束日期
2027-02-12市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings show Japan's core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) holding at 1.9% year-over-year in August 2026, below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for a fifth straight month, while the core measure ex-fresh food eased to 1.7%. Trader positioning favoring the 2.0-2.4% band for 2026 reflects BoJ projections of underlying inflation accelerating toward or above 2% in the second half of fiscal 2026, driven by yen depreciation, elevated crude oil prices amid Middle East tensions, AI-related semiconductor demand, and ongoing wage-price pass-through. The central bank's September rate hike to 1.25% and upside risk warnings underscore these pressures, though subsidies and base effects have capped near-term prints. Market-implied odds price in a gradual convergence to the target without sharp overshoots.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
交易量
$61,116结束日期
2027-02-12市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETRecent readings show Japan's core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) holding at 1.9% year-over-year in August 2026, below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for a fifth straight month, while the core measure ex-fresh food eased to 1.7%. Trader positioning favoring the 2.0-2.4% band for 2026 reflects BoJ projections of underlying inflation accelerating toward or above 2% in the second half of fiscal 2026, driven by yen depreciation, elevated crude oil prices amid Middle East tensions, AI-related semiconductor demand, and ongoing wage-price pass-through. The central bank's September rate hike to 1.25% and upside risk warnings underscore these pressures, though subsidies and base effects have capped near-term prints. Market-implied odds price in a gradual convergence to the target without sharp overshoots.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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