Recent April 2026 data showed Japan’s core-core CPI YoY easing to 1.9 percent, the softest reading in nearly two years, amid government subsidies and fading prior food-price effects, yet Bank of Japan gauges stripping institutional factors registered 2.8 percent, underscoring persistent underlying pressures. Traders weigh wage-pass-through momentum and elevated crude-oil prices linked to Middle East supply risks against softening growth forecasts and the BoJ’s upwardly revised fiscal-2026 inflation projections. These crosscurrents, together with yen volatility and upcoming summer wage-settlement data, sustain balanced probabilities across the 2.0–2.9 percent bands while leaving room for higher or lower realizations depending on energy-price persistence and demand resilience.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3.0-3.4% 97%
≤1.9% 50%
4.0%及以上 50%
2.0-2.4% 49%
最新
最新
2027-02-12
≤1.9%
50%
2.0-2.4%
49%
2.5-2.9%
49%
3.0-3.4%
97%
3.5-3.9%
49%
4.0%及以上
50%
3.0-3.4% 97%
≤1.9% 50%
4.0%及以上 50%
2.0-2.4% 49%
最新
最新
2027-02-12
≤1.9%
$0 交易量
50%
2.0-2.4%
$0 交易量
49%
2.5-2.9%
$0 交易量
49%
3.0-3.4%
$0 交易量
97%
3.5-3.9%
$0 交易量
49%
4.0%及以上
$0 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent April 2026 data showed Japan’s core-core CPI YoY easing to 1.9 percent, the softest reading in nearly two years, amid government subsidies and fading prior food-price effects, yet Bank of Japan gauges stripping institutional factors registered 2.8 percent, underscoring persistent underlying pressures. Traders weigh wage-pass-through momentum and elevated crude-oil prices linked to Middle East supply risks against softening growth forecasts and the BoJ’s upwardly revised fiscal-2026 inflation projections. These crosscurrents, together with yen volatility and upcoming summer wage-settlement data, sustain balanced probabilities across the 2.0–2.9 percent bands while leaving room for higher or lower realizations depending on energy-price persistence and demand resilience.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
市场开放时间： Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2027-02-12市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent April 2026 data showed Japan’s core-core CPI YoY easing to 1.9 percent, the softest reading in nearly two years, amid government subsidies and fading prior food-price effects, yet Bank of Japan gauges stripping institutional factors registered 2.8 percent, underscoring persistent underlying pressures. Traders weigh wage-pass-through momentum and elevated crude-oil prices linked to Middle East supply risks against softening growth forecasts and the BoJ’s upwardly revised fiscal-2026 inflation projections. These crosscurrents, together with yen volatility and upcoming summer wage-settlement data, sustain balanced probabilities across the 2.0–2.9 percent bands while leaving room for higher or lower realizations depending on energy-price persistence and demand resilience.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
交易量
$0结束日期
2027-02-12市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 data showed Japan’s core-core CPI YoY easing to 1.9 percent, the softest reading in nearly two years, amid government subsidies and fading prior food-price effects, yet Bank of Japan gauges stripping institutional factors registered 2.8 percent, underscoring persistent underlying pressures. Traders weigh wage-pass-through momentum and elevated crude-oil prices linked to Middle East supply risks against softening growth forecasts and the BoJ’s upwardly revised fiscal-2026 inflation projections. These crosscurrents, together with yen volatility and upcoming summer wage-settlement data, sustain balanced probabilities across the 2.0–2.9 percent bands while leaving room for higher or lower realizations depending on energy-price persistence and demand resilience.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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