South Africa's 2026 annual inflation market shows the tightest clustering around the 4.1-4.7% bands, reflecting trader focus on the South African Reserve Bank's May upward revision to a 4.4% full-year average forecast amid June CPI data that printed at 5.0% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2024. The acceleration, driven by a 34% surge in fuel prices tied to global energy shocks from the Iran conflict, lifted transportation costs sharply while core inflation reached 4.1%. With the policy rate held at 7% after the May hike and the new 3% point target in place, markets price in partial moderation from current levels but limited downside given ongoing food, housing, and imported energy pressures. The September MPC meeting and subsequent CPI releases remain key swing factors that could shift the distribution toward either the 3.8-4.1% or 4.7-5.0% buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4.1-4.4% 29.6%
4.4-4.7% 22.1%
3.8-4.1% 14.8%
>5.0% 8.8%
$39,925 交易量
$39,925 交易量
2027-01-20
低于2.6%
<1%
2.6-2.9%
<1%
2.9-3.2%
3%
3.2-3.5%
3%
3.5-3.8%
4%
3.8-4.1%
15%
4.1-4.4%
30%
4.4-4.7%
22%
4.7-5.0%
8%
>5.0%
9%
4.1-4.4% 29.6%
4.4-4.7% 22.1%
3.8-4.1% 14.8%
>5.0% 8.8%
$39,925 交易量
$39,925 交易量
2027-01-20
低于2.6%
$1,219 交易量
<1%
2.6-2.9%
$1,854 交易量
<1%
2.9-3.2%
$1,564 交易量
3%
3.2-3.5%
$1,245 交易量
3%
3.5-3.8%
$1,798 交易量
4%
3.8-4.1%
$3,106 交易量
15%
4.1-4.4%
$2,590 交易量
30%
4.4-4.7%
$14,940 交易量
22%
4.7-5.0%
$3,372 交易量
8%
>5.0%
$8,236 交易量
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's 2026 annual inflation market shows the tightest clustering around the 4.1-4.7% bands, reflecting trader focus on the South African Reserve Bank's May upward revision to a 4.4% full-year average forecast amid June CPI data that printed at 5.0% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2024. The acceleration, driven by a 34% surge in fuel prices tied to global energy shocks from the Iran conflict, lifted transportation costs sharply while core inflation reached 4.1%. With the policy rate held at 7% after the May hike and the new 3% point target in place, markets price in partial moderation from current levels but limited downside given ongoing food, housing, and imported energy pressures. The September MPC meeting and subsequent CPI releases remain key swing factors that could shift the distribution toward either the 3.8-4.1% or 4.7-5.0% buckets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
市场开放时间： Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
交易量
$39,925结束日期
2027-01-20市场开放时间
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's 2026 annual inflation market shows the tightest clustering around the 4.1-4.7% bands, reflecting trader focus on the South African Reserve Bank's May upward revision to a 4.4% full-year average forecast amid June CPI data that printed at 5.0% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2024. The acceleration, driven by a 34% surge in fuel prices tied to global energy shocks from the Iran conflict, lifted transportation costs sharply while core inflation reached 4.1%. With the policy rate held at 7% after the May hike and the new 3% point target in place, markets price in partial moderation from current levels but limited downside given ongoing food, housing, and imported energy pressures. The September MPC meeting and subsequent CPI releases remain key swing factors that could shift the distribution toward either the 3.8-4.1% or 4.7-5.0% buckets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
交易量
$39,925结束日期
2027-01-20市场开放时间
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa's 2026 annual inflation market shows the tightest clustering around the 4.1-4.7% bands, reflecting trader focus on the South African Reserve Bank's May upward revision to a 4.4% full-year average forecast amid June CPI data that printed at 5.0% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2024. The acceleration, driven by a 34% surge in fuel prices tied to global energy shocks from the Iran conflict, lifted transportation costs sharply while core inflation reached 4.1%. With the policy rate held at 7% after the May hike and the new 3% point target in place, markets price in partial moderation from current levels but limited downside given ongoing food, housing, and imported energy pressures. The September MPC meeting and subsequent CPI releases remain key swing factors that could shift the distribution toward either the 3.8-4.1% or 4.7-5.0% buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题