Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 71% implied probability for India's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.50%, closely mirroring the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) April 2026 Monetary Policy Committee projection of 4.6% for FY27 amid escalating geopolitical tensions in West Asia and surging energy costs. April's CPI release on May 12 showed headline inflation rising to a 13-month high of 3.48% year-over-year—the sixth consecutive monthly increase—driven by food inflation at 4.20% and higher fuel prices filtering through, reversing earlier sub-3% readings under the new 2024-base series. Core pressures and El Niño risks further tilt sentiment upward, though within RBI's 2-6% tolerance band; next CPI data in June and June MPC meeting loom as key catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4.50%及以上 71%
3.00%到3.74% 9.6%
2.25%到2.99% 8.7%
低于0.75% 8%
$60,211 交易量
$60,211 交易量
2027-01-12
低于0.75%
8%
0.75%到1.49%
4%
1.50%到2.24%
15%
2.25%到2.99%
9%
3.00%到3.74%
10%
3.75%到4.49%
1%
4.50%及以上
71%
4.50%及以上 71%
3.00%到3.74% 9.6%
2.25%到2.99% 8.7%
低于0.75% 8%
$60,211 交易量
$60,211 交易量
2027-01-12
低于0.75%
$747 交易量
8%
0.75%到1.49%
$500 交易量
4%
1.50%到2.24%
$415 交易量
15%
2.25%到2.99%
$23,739 交易量
9%
3.00%到3.74%
$517 交易量
10%
3.75%到4.49%
$23,112 交易量
1%
4.50%及以上
$11,181 交易量
71%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 71% implied probability for India's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.50%, closely mirroring the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) April 2026 Monetary Policy Committee projection of 4.6% for FY27 amid escalating geopolitical tensions in West Asia and surging energy costs. April's CPI release on May 12 showed headline inflation rising to a 13-month high of 3.48% year-over-year—the sixth consecutive monthly increase—driven by food inflation at 4.20% and higher fuel prices filtering through, reversing earlier sub-3% readings under the new 2024-base series. Core pressures and El Niño risks further tilt sentiment upward, though within RBI's 2-6% tolerance band; next CPI data in June and June MPC meeting loom as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
市场开放时间： Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
交易量
$60,211结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 71% implied probability for India's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.50%, closely mirroring the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) April 2026 Monetary Policy Committee projection of 4.6% for FY27 amid escalating geopolitical tensions in West Asia and surging energy costs. April's CPI release on May 12 showed headline inflation rising to a 13-month high of 3.48% year-over-year—the sixth consecutive monthly increase—driven by food inflation at 4.20% and higher fuel prices filtering through, reversing earlier sub-3% readings under the new 2024-base series. Core pressures and El Niño risks further tilt sentiment upward, though within RBI's 2-6% tolerance band; next CPI data in June and June MPC meeting loom as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
交易量
$60,211结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 71% implied probability for India's 2026 annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.50%, closely mirroring the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) April 2026 Monetary Policy Committee projection of 4.6% for FY27 amid escalating geopolitical tensions in West Asia and surging energy costs. April's CPI release on May 12 showed headline inflation rising to a 13-month high of 3.48% year-over-year—the sixth consecutive monthly increase—driven by food inflation at 4.20% and higher fuel prices filtering through, reversing earlier sub-3% readings under the new 2024-base series. Core pressures and El Niño risks further tilt sentiment upward, though within RBI's 2-6% tolerance band; next CPI data in June and June MPC meeting loom as key catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题