India's CPI inflation has climbed to 4.45% in July 2026 from 4.38% in June and 3.93% in May, driven by elevated food prices and delayed pass-through from Middle East energy shocks. The Reserve Bank of India raised its FY2026-27 average forecast to 5.1%, citing imported inflation risks while holding the repo rate steady at 5.25%. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward the 4.50%+ outcome, as recent prints and base effects point to sustained pressure above the 4% target through year-end. Upcoming monsoon and commodity data releases remain key swing factors for the full-year average.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4.50%及以上 80%
3.75%到4.49% 14.5%
低于0.75% 4.2%
3.00%到3.74% 3.1%
$78,025 交易量
$78,025 交易量
2027-01-12
低于0.75%
4%
0.75%到1.49%
<1%
1.50%到2.24%
1%
2.25%到2.99%
1%
3.00%到3.74%
3%
3.75%到4.49%
15%
4.50%及以上
80%
4.50%及以上 80%
3.75%到4.49% 14.5%
低于0.75% 4.2%
3.00%到3.74% 3.1%
$78,025 交易量
$78,025 交易量
2027-01-12
低于0.75%
$1,769 交易量
4%
0.75%到1.49%
$1,191 交易量
<1%
1.50%到2.24%
$1,265 交易量
1%
2.25%到2.99%
$24,989 交易量
1%
3.00%到3.74%
$2,081 交易量
3%
3.75%到4.49%
$29,492 交易量
15%
4.50%及以上
$17,238 交易量
80%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's CPI inflation has climbed to 4.45% in July 2026 from 4.38% in June and 3.93% in May, driven by elevated food prices and delayed pass-through from Middle East energy shocks. The Reserve Bank of India raised its FY2026-27 average forecast to 5.1%, citing imported inflation risks while holding the repo rate steady at 5.25%. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward the 4.50%+ outcome, as recent prints and base effects point to sustained pressure above the 4% target through year-end. Upcoming monsoon and commodity data releases remain key swing factors for the full-year average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
市场开放时间： Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
交易量
$78,025结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's CPI inflation has climbed to 4.45% in July 2026 from 4.38% in June and 3.93% in May, driven by elevated food prices and delayed pass-through from Middle East energy shocks. The Reserve Bank of India raised its FY2026-27 average forecast to 5.1%, citing imported inflation risks while holding the repo rate steady at 5.25%. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward the 4.50%+ outcome, as recent prints and base effects point to sustained pressure above the 4% target through year-end. Upcoming monsoon and commodity data releases remain key swing factors for the full-year average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
交易量
$78,025结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...India's CPI inflation has climbed to 4.45% in July 2026 from 4.38% in June and 3.93% in May, driven by elevated food prices and delayed pass-through from Middle East energy shocks. The Reserve Bank of India raised its FY2026-27 average forecast to 5.1%, citing imported inflation risks while holding the repo rate steady at 5.25%. These developments have shifted trader consensus toward the 4.50%+ outcome, as recent prints and base effects point to sustained pressure above the 4% target through year-end. Upcoming monsoon and commodity data releases remain key swing factors for the full-year average.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题