Narendra Modi’s third term as Prime Minister runs until the scheduled 2029 Lok Sabha elections, with the National Democratic Alliance retaining a working majority in the lower house following the 2024 results. Recent state assembly elections in 2026 showed the BJP-led coalition expanding its position in key states such as Assam and West Bengal, reinforcing legislative stability and reducing near-term pressure for early polls or coalition collapse. A July 2026 resignation by the education minister over NEET exam leaks addressed localized protests without triggering broader challenges to Modi’s leadership or government continuity. No verified developments indicate an imminent no-confidence vote, health-related exit, or snap election before the December 2026 cutoff. Traders price the “No” outcome at 92.7 percent because the five-year parliamentary term, coalition arithmetic, and absence of destabilizing events through mid-2026 create high structural barriers to Modi leaving office ahead of schedule.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$230,782 交易量
$230,782 交易量
是
$230,782 交易量
$230,782 交易量
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s third term as Prime Minister runs until the scheduled 2029 Lok Sabha elections, with the National Democratic Alliance retaining a working majority in the lower house following the 2024 results. Recent state assembly elections in 2026 showed the BJP-led coalition expanding its position in key states such as Assam and West Bengal, reinforcing legislative stability and reducing near-term pressure for early polls or coalition collapse. A July 2026 resignation by the education minister over NEET exam leaks addressed localized protests without triggering broader challenges to Modi’s leadership or government continuity. No verified developments indicate an imminent no-confidence vote, health-related exit, or snap election before the December 2026 cutoff. Traders price the “No” outcome at 92.7 percent because the five-year parliamentary term, coalition arithmetic, and absence of destabilizing events through mid-2026 create high structural barriers to Modi leaving office ahead of schedule.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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