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icon for 阿根廷会在2026年6月30日之前实现美元化吗?

阿根廷会在2026年6月30日之前实现美元化吗?

icon for 阿根廷会在2026年6月30日之前实现美元化吗?

阿根廷会在2026年6月30日之前实现美元化吗?

2% 概率
Polymarket

$15,161 交易量

2% 概率
Polymarket

$15,161 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.President Javier Milei's April 2026 statements explicitly walking back dollarization—citing lack of public support—have solidified trader consensus against adoption by June 30, with "No" shares reflecting near-certainty at 98.5%. Instead, his administration pursues peso stabilization through a new exchange rate regime launched in January, bolstered by $30 billion in projected export-driven central bank reserve inflows over six months, though far short of the estimated $40 billion needed to back a full U.S. dollar transition. No legislative progress, congressional approval, or preparatory executive actions signal imminent change, amid ongoing monetary reforms prioritizing inflation control over currency replacement. Realistic shifts would require sudden policy reversal, massive unforeseen reserves, or emergency decree, but current pragmatism leaves little room for such developments in the remaining six weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.

Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
交易量
$15,161
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Oct 31, 2025, 11:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.President Javier Milei's April 2026 statements explicitly walking back dollarization—citing lack of public support—have solidified trader consensus against adoption by June 30, with "No" shares reflecting near-certainty at 98.5%. Instead, his administration pursues peso stabilization through a new exchange rate regime launched in January, bolstered by $30 billion in projected export-driven central bank reserve inflows over six months, though far short of the estimated $40 billion needed to back a full U.S. dollar transition. No legislative progress, congressional approval, or preparatory executive actions signal imminent change, amid ongoing monetary reforms prioritizing inflation control over currency replacement. Realistic shifts would require sudden policy reversal, massive unforeseen reserves, or emergency decree, but current pragmatism leaves little room for such developments in the remaining six weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.

Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
交易量
$15,161
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Oct 31, 2025, 11:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"阿根廷会在2026年6月30日之前实现美元化吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"到2026年6月30日,阿根廷会实现美元化吗?",概率为 2%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 2¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 2%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"阿根廷会在2026年6月30日之前实现美元化吗?"已产生 $15.2K 的总交易量(自Oct 31, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"阿根廷会在2026年6月30日之前实现美元化吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"阿根廷会在2026年6月30日之前实现美元化吗?"的当前领先者是"到2026年6月30日,阿根廷会实现美元化吗?",仅有 2%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"阿根廷会在2026年6月30日之前实现美元化吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。