The recent Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced commitments for expanded Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, Boeing aircraft, and energy products along with plans for new trade and investment councils, yet delivered no formal tariff agreement. Leaders explicitly noted that tariffs were not discussed, and the existing reciprocal tariff suspension framework remains in place until November 2026. This outcome has lowered the odds of a new deal by the end of May, as traders see the truce rollover and managed-trade mechanism reducing immediate pressure for a binding resolution on tariff rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
$65,766 交易量
$65,766 交易量
2026-05-31
$65,766 交易量
$65,766 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The recent Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced commitments for expanded Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, Boeing aircraft, and energy products along with plans for new trade and investment councils, yet delivered no formal tariff agreement. Leaders explicitly noted that tariffs were not discussed, and the existing reciprocal tariff suspension framework remains in place until November 2026. This outcome has lowered the odds of a new deal by the end of May, as traders see the truce rollover and managed-trade mechanism reducing immediate pressure for a binding resolution on tariff rates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
交易量
$65,766结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The recent Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced commitments for expanded Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, Boeing aircraft, and energy products along with plans for new trade and investment councils, yet delivered no formal tariff agreement. Leaders explicitly noted that tariffs were not discussed, and the existing reciprocal tariff suspension framework remains in place until November 2026. This outcome has lowered the odds of a new deal by the end of May, as traders see the truce rollover and managed-trade mechanism reducing immediate pressure for a binding resolution on tariff rates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$65,766结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced commitments for expanded Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural goods, Boeing aircraft, and energy products along with plans for new trade and investment councils, yet delivered no formal tariff agreement. Leaders explicitly noted that tariffs were not discussed, and the existing reciprocal tariff suspension framework remains in place until November 2026. This outcome has lowered the odds of a new deal by the end of May, as traders see the truce rollover and managed-trade mechanism reducing immediate pressure for a binding resolution on tariff rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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