President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes summit with Xi Jinping, featuring a state banquet and bilateral tea meeting on May 14, anchors trader consensus at 96.5% for no insult this week, reflecting diplomatic decorum amid discussions on AI competition, Iran, and trade. Recent public remarks from Trump have emphasized "friendly competition" and expressed anticipation for the talks, diverging from past rhetorical patterns and prioritizing bilateral relations over personal attacks. With the U.S. corporate delegation present and no prior criticisms in the past week, markets price in restraint; however, an impromptu press remark or leaked off-script comment before the week's resolution could prompt a rapid shift, though such scenarios face significant barriers given the summit's gravity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于特朗普本周会侮辱习近平吗?
特朗普本周会侮辱习近平吗?
是
$60,945 交易量
$60,945 交易量
是
$60,945 交易量
$60,945 交易量
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: May 11, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's arrival in Beijing on May 13 for a high-stakes summit with Xi Jinping, featuring a state banquet and bilateral tea meeting on May 14, anchors trader consensus at 96.5% for no insult this week, reflecting diplomatic decorum amid discussions on AI competition, Iran, and trade. Recent public remarks from Trump have emphasized "friendly competition" and expressed anticipation for the talks, diverging from past rhetorical patterns and prioritizing bilateral relations over personal attacks. With the U.S. corporate delegation present and no prior criticisms in the past week, markets price in restraint; however, an impromptu press remark or leaked off-script comment before the week's resolution could prompt a rapid shift, though such scenarios face significant barriers given the summit's gravity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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