Rising gasoline prices, driven by U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran since February 2026 and related supply disruptions, prompted President Trump and members of Congress in May 2026 to back a temporary suspension of the 18.4-cent federal excise tax on gasoline. Multiple bills were introduced that month, including Republican measures for at least 90 days with possible presidential extension and Democratic proposals running through October 1, 2026, though none advanced to enactment. Passage requires legislative action that would reduce Highway Trust Fund revenue, creating procedural and fiscal hurdles in a divided Congress. Trader consensus reflects these timing uncertainties ahead of the November midterms, with geopolitical developments and any floor votes or executive signals likely to shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$31,988 交易量
November 2
20%
$31,988 交易量
November 2
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Rising gasoline prices, driven by U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran since February 2026 and related supply disruptions, prompted President Trump and members of Congress in May 2026 to back a temporary suspension of the 18.4-cent federal excise tax on gasoline. Multiple bills were introduced that month, including Republican measures for at least 90 days with possible presidential extension and Democratic proposals running through October 1, 2026, though none advanced to enactment. Passage requires legislative action that would reduce Highway Trust Fund revenue, creating procedural and fiscal hurdles in a divided Congress. Trader consensus reflects these timing uncertainties ahead of the November midterms, with geopolitical developments and any floor votes or executive signals likely to shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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