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icon for Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

icon for Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

$31,988 交易量

2026-11-02
Polymarket

$31,988 交易量

Polymarket

November 2

$9,622 交易量

20%

On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising gasoline prices, driven by U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran since February 2026 and related supply disruptions, prompted President Trump and members of Congress in May 2026 to back a temporary suspension of the 18.4-cent federal excise tax on gasoline. Multiple bills were introduced that month, including Republican measures for at least 90 days with possible presidential extension and Democratic proposals running through October 1, 2026, though none advanced to enactment. Passage requires legislative action that would reduce Highway Trust Fund revenue, creating procedural and fiscal hurdles in a divided Congress. Trader consensus reflects these timing uncertainties ahead of the November midterms, with geopolitical developments and any floor votes or executive signals likely to shift implied probabilities.

On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$31,988
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising gasoline prices, driven by U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran since February 2026 and related supply disruptions, prompted President Trump and members of Congress in May 2026 to back a temporary suspension of the 18.4-cent federal excise tax on gasoline. Multiple bills were introduced that month, including Republican measures for at least 90 days with possible presidential extension and Democratic proposals running through October 1, 2026, though none advanced to enactment. Passage requires legislative action that would reduce Highway Trust Fund revenue, creating procedural and fiscal hurdles in a divided Congress. Trader consensus reflects these timing uncertainties ahead of the November midterms, with geopolitical developments and any floor votes or executive signals likely to shift implied probabilities.

On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$31,988
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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常见问题

"Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"November 2",概率为 20%,其次是"June 30",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 20¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 20%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?"已产生 $32K 的总交易量(自May 12, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?"的当前领先者是"November 2",概率为 20%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 20%。紧随其后的结果是"June 30",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。