Skip to main content
icon for 特朗普是否会在2026年发布否决权?

特朗普是否会在2026年发布否决权?

icon for 特朗普是否会在2026年发布否决权?

特朗普是否会在2026年发布否决权?

48% 概率
Polymarket
最新

48% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Trump's veto use in 2026 remains evenly balanced at 50% for "Yes," reflecting a mix of restraint so far and ongoing leverage plays with a Republican-led Congress.** He issued two vetoes in late 2025 on narrow bipartisan measures (a Colorado water project and Miccosukee land amendments), both sustained by the House in January 2026, showing willingness to block legislation when priorities diverge. In the most recent development as of June 24-25, 2026, Trump abruptly canceled the signing ceremony for the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act—which passed both chambers with veto-proof majorities—to pressure the Senate on his top priority, the SAVE America Act (voter eligibility and ID requirements). He framed the housing bill as secondary and did not explicitly threaten a veto, leaving open the possibility it becomes law after the standard 10-day period. This standoff highlights the competitive dynamics: unified GOP government reduces routine clashes, yet internal Senate resistance to the SAVE Act and other Trump-backed measures creates flashpoints where a veto could serve as leverage. Traders see roughly even odds because Trump has vetoed sparingly in his second term, but legislative fights over elections, immigration, and spending could still prompt one before year-end. Unexpected overrides, deals, or adjournment timing could shift probabilities either way.

This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,668
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Trump's veto use in 2026 remains evenly balanced at 50% for "Yes," reflecting a mix of restraint so far and ongoing leverage plays with a Republican-led Congress.** He issued two vetoes in late 2025 on narrow bipartisan measures (a Colorado water project and Miccosukee land amendments), both sustained by the House in January 2026, showing willingness to block legislation when priorities diverge. In the most recent development as of June 24-25, 2026, Trump abruptly canceled the signing ceremony for the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act—which passed both chambers with veto-proof majorities—to pressure the Senate on his top priority, the SAVE America Act (voter eligibility and ID requirements). He framed the housing bill as secondary and did not explicitly threaten a veto, leaving open the possibility it becomes law after the standard 10-day period. This standoff highlights the competitive dynamics: unified GOP government reduces routine clashes, yet internal Senate resistance to the SAVE Act and other Trump-backed measures creates flashpoints where a veto could serve as leverage. Traders see roughly even odds because Trump has vetoed sparingly in his second term, but legislative fights over elections, immigration, and spending could still prompt one before year-end. Unexpected overrides, deals, or adjournment timing could shift probabilities either way.

This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,668
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普是否会在2026年发布否决权?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特朗普会在2026年行使否决权吗?",概率为 48%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 48¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 48%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"特朗普是否会在2026年发布否决权?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 25, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"特朗普是否会在2026年发布否决权?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普是否会在2026年发布否决权?"的当前领先者是"特朗普会在2026年行使否决权吗?",概率为 48%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 48%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普是否会在2026年发布否决权?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。