President Donald Trump's state visit to China culminated in a lavish state banquet hosted by President Xi Jinping at Beijing's Great Hall of the People on May 14, 2026, marking the first such visit by a sitting U.S. president in eight years. Trump delivered a concise toast praising Xi as "my friend," describing the welcome as "magnificent like none other," and highlighting the U.S.-China relationship as "one of the most consequential," with references to historic mutual respect, early trade ties, and shared WWII alliance. Remarks focused on positive bilateral talks amid ongoing trade negotiations and Taiwan tensions, inviting Xi to the White House. Traders await official video verification for verbatim phrase matches, as no quirky historical or cultural allusions like "Silk Road" or "ping-pong" appeared in reported excerpts, shaping low consensus on speculative outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$79,226 交易量
2026-05-13
Silk Road
No
Ping-pong / Ping Pong
No
Heaven
No
Tiger
No
Forbidden City
No
Nixon
No
Farm / Farmer
No
Gun
No
Dynasty
No
Confucius / Confucian
Yes
Friendship
No
Hottest
No
Sovereign / Sovereignty
No
Ancient
Yes
Farm / Farmer
No
World War II
Yes
Temple
No
Paper
Yes
-No Qualifying Event-
No
$79,226 交易量
Silk Road
$4,717 交易量
No
Ping-pong / Ping Pong
$3,377 交易量
No
Heaven
$6,606 交易量
No
Tiger
$2,277 交易量
No
Forbidden City
$2,623 交易量
No
Nixon
$4,377 交易量
No
Farm / Farmer
$4,165 交易量
No
Gun
$914 交易量
No
Dynasty
$3,705 交易量
No
Confucius / Confucian
$7,630 交易量
Yes
Friendship
$5,722 交易量
No
Hottest
$4,544 交易量
No
Sovereign / Sovereignty
$2,685 交易量
No
Ancient
$1,637 交易量
Yes
Farm / Farmer
$2,287 交易量
No
World War II
$2,241 交易量
Yes
Temple
$3,797 交易量
No
Paper
$8,822 交易量
Yes
-No Qualifying Event-
$7,100 交易量
No
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a State Banquet in Beijing on May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump's state visit to China culminated in a lavish state banquet hosted by President Xi Jinping at Beijing's Great Hall of the People on May 14, 2026, marking the first such visit by a sitting U.S. president in eight years. Trump delivered a concise toast praising Xi as "my friend," describing the welcome as "magnificent like none other," and highlighting the U.S.-China relationship as "one of the most consequential," with references to historic mutual respect, early trade ties, and shared WWII alliance. Remarks focused on positive bilateral talks amid ongoing trade negotiations and Taiwan tensions, inviting Xi to the White House. Traders await official video verification for verbatim phrase matches, as no quirky historical or cultural allusions like "Silk Road" or "ping-pong" appeared in reported excerpts, shaping low consensus on speculative outcomes.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a State Banquet in Beijing on May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
交易量
$79,226结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a State Banquet in Beijing on May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Donald Trump's state visit to China culminated in a lavish state banquet hosted by President Xi Jinping at Beijing's Great Hall of the People on May 14, 2026, marking the first such visit by a sitting U.S. president in eight years. Trump delivered a concise toast praising Xi as "my friend," describing the welcome as "magnificent like none other," and highlighting the U.S.-China relationship as "one of the most consequential," with references to historic mutual respect, early trade ties, and shared WWII alliance. Remarks focused on positive bilateral talks amid ongoing trade negotiations and Taiwan tensions, inviting Xi to the White House. Traders await official video verification for verbatim phrase matches, as no quirky historical or cultural allusions like "Silk Road" or "ping-pong" appeared in reported excerpts, shaping low consensus on speculative outcomes.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a State Banquet in Beijing on May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the State Banquet scheduled for May 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a State Banquet with the President of the People's Republic of China [Local: 6:00 PM]" scheduled for May 14, 2026, 6AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
交易量
$79,226结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
President Donald Trump's state visit to China culminated in a lavish state banquet hosted by President Xi Jinping at Beijing's Great Hall of the People on May 14, 2026, marking the first such visit by a sitting U.S. president in eight years. Trump delivered a concise toast praising Xi as "my friend," describing the welcome as "magnificent like none other," and highlighting the U.S.-China relationship as "one of the most consequential," with references to historic mutual respect, early trade ties, and shared WWII alliance. Remarks focused on positive bilateral talks amid ongoing trade negotiations and Taiwan tensions, inviting Xi to the White House. Traders await official video verification for verbatim phrase matches, as no quirky historical or cultural allusions like "Silk Road" or "ping-pong" appeared in reported excerpts, shaping low consensus on speculative outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题