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icon for 唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?

唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?

icon for 唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?

唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?

200+ 27%

120-139 22%

100-119 17%

140-159 12%

Polymarket
最新

200+ 27%

120-139 22%

100-119 17%

140-159 12%

Polymarket
最新

<20

$3,278 交易量

<1%

20-39

$583 交易量

<1%

40-59

$787 交易量

1%

60-79

$1,073 交易量

8%

80-99

$591 交易量

4%

100-119

$217 交易量

17%

120-139

$107 交易量

22%

140-159

$118 交易量

14%

160-179

$118 交易量

10%

180-199

$68 交易量

27%

200+

$94 交易量

27%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the 180-199 and 200+ ranges as the leading outcomes for Donald Trump's Truth Social posts from May 19-26, 2026, each carrying 26.5 percent implied probability. This close contest reflects uncertainty over his posting volume during the period, shaped by his typical response to news cycles, public statements, and scheduled appearances. Recent patterns show elevated activity when major policy or campaign developments emerge, while quieter intervals tend to moderate totals. Factors that could widen the gap include high-profile events or announcements within the window, which historically drive increased daily output, versus routine periods that align with lower mid-range buckets such as 120-139 at 22 percent.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$7,033
结束日期
2026-05-26
市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the 180-199 and 200+ ranges as the leading outcomes for Donald Trump's Truth Social posts from May 19-26, 2026, each carrying 26.5 percent implied probability. This close contest reflects uncertainty over his posting volume during the period, shaped by his typical response to news cycles, public statements, and scheduled appearances. Recent patterns show elevated activity when major policy or campaign developments emerge, while quieter intervals tend to moderate totals. Factors that could widen the gap include high-profile events or announcements within the window, which historically drive increased daily output, versus routine periods that align with lower mid-range buckets such as 120-139 at 22 percent.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$7,033
结束日期
2026-05-26
市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"180-199",概率为 27%,其次是"200+",概率为 27%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 27¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 27%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 16, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?"的当前领先者是"180-199",概率为 27%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 27%。紧随其后的结果是"200+",概率为 27%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月19日至5月26日?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。