Traders view the 180-199 and 200+ ranges as the leading outcomes for Donald Trump's Truth Social posts from May 19-26, 2026, each carrying 26.5 percent implied probability. This close contest reflects uncertainty over his posting volume during the period, shaped by his typical response to news cycles, public statements, and scheduled appearances. Recent patterns show elevated activity when major policy or campaign developments emerge, while quieter intervals tend to moderate totals. Factors that could widen the gap include high-profile events or announcements within the window, which historically drive increased daily output, versus routine periods that align with lower mid-range buckets such as 120-139 at 22 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于200+ 27%
120-139 22%
100-119 17%
140-159 12%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
8%
80-99
4%
100-119
17%
120-139
22%
140-159
14%
160-179
10%
180-199
27%
200+
27%
200+ 27%
120-139 22%
100-119 17%
140-159 12%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
8%
80-99
4%
100-119
17%
120-139
22%
140-159
14%
160-179
10%
180-199
27%
200+
27%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders view the 180-199 and 200+ ranges as the leading outcomes for Donald Trump's Truth Social posts from May 19-26, 2026, each carrying 26.5 percent implied probability. This close contest reflects uncertainty over his posting volume during the period, shaped by his typical response to news cycles, public statements, and scheduled appearances. Recent patterns show elevated activity when major policy or campaign developments emerge, while quieter intervals tend to moderate totals. Factors that could widen the gap include high-profile events or announcements within the window, which historically drive increased daily output, versus routine periods that align with lower mid-range buckets such as 120-139 at 22 percent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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