President Trump’s recent return from a Beijing summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, coupled with stalled negotiations over Iran, stands as the dominant influence on trader expectations for his social media activity through May 24. Defense Department officials have prepared escalation options should talks fail, while reports of potential IRS settlement talks involving billions in taxpayer funds add domestic angles. These developments align with historical patterns where Trump addresses foreign policy shifts, trade matters, and administration priorities directly on his platforms. Scheduled events such as upcoming congressional briefings and White House updates on sanctions or military posture could further shape content, creating opportunities for posts on ceasefire prospects, economic ties, or regulatory actions. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of how these catalysts intersect with his established communication style.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-05-24
Harvard
45%
Shenanigan
14%
Treason / Treasonous
52%
Gun
57%
Gene / Genetic
35%
Wall Street
31%
Dad / Daddy
44%
Tina
21%
Scam / Hoax
55%
World Cup
18%
Chair
68%
Cuba
44%
Gold / Golden
76%
Television / TV
70%
Six Seven
14%
Central Casting
15%
Midterm
80%
Restaurant
14%
Crooked
74%
Peanut
14%
Cookie
14%
Fake News
79%
Transgender
68%
IQ
65%
Autopen
21%
Sleepy Joe
72%
New York
82%
Shit / Fuck / Fucked
19%
Critic
55%
Cocaine
16%
Big / Bigger / Biggest
86%
$262 交易量
Harvard
$5 交易量
45%
Shenanigan
$0 交易量
14%
Treason / Treasonous
$0 交易量
52%
Gun
$0 交易量
57%
Gene / Genetic
$0 交易量
35%
Wall Street
$30 交易量
31%
Dad / Daddy
$0 交易量
44%
Tina
$5 交易量
21%
Scam / Hoax
$0 交易量
55%
World Cup
$4 交易量
18%
Chair
$34 交易量
68%
Cuba
$0 交易量
44%
Gold / Golden
$4 交易量
76%
Television / TV
$0 交易量
70%
Six Seven
$0 交易量
14%
Central Casting
$0 交易量
15%
Midterm
$24 交易量
80%
Restaurant
$0 交易量
14%
Crooked
$0 交易量
74%
Peanut
$0 交易量
14%
Cookie
$0 交易量
14%
Fake News
$5 交易量
79%
Transgender
$0 交易量
68%
IQ
$0 交易量
65%
Autopen
$0 交易量
21%
Sleepy Joe
$0 交易量
72%
New York
$6 交易量
82%
Shit / Fuck / Fucked
$0 交易量
19%
Critic
$0 交易量
55%
Cocaine
$0 交易量
16%
Big / Bigger / Biggest
$145 交易量
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump’s recent return from a Beijing summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, coupled with stalled negotiations over Iran, stands as the dominant influence on trader expectations for his social media activity through May 24. Defense Department officials have prepared escalation options should talks fail, while reports of potential IRS settlement talks involving billions in taxpayer funds add domestic angles. These developments align with historical patterns where Trump addresses foreign policy shifts, trade matters, and administration priorities directly on his platforms. Scheduled events such as upcoming congressional briefings and White House updates on sanctions or military posture could further shape content, creating opportunities for posts on ceasefire prospects, economic ties, or regulatory actions. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of how these catalysts intersect with his established communication style.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
交易量
$262结束日期
2026-05-24市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump’s recent return from a Beijing summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, coupled with stalled negotiations over Iran, stands as the dominant influence on trader expectations for his social media activity through May 24. Defense Department officials have prepared escalation options should talks fail, while reports of potential IRS settlement talks involving billions in taxpayer funds add domestic angles. These developments align with historical patterns where Trump addresses foreign policy shifts, trade matters, and administration priorities directly on his platforms. Scheduled events such as upcoming congressional briefings and White House updates on sanctions or military posture could further shape content, creating opportunities for posts on ceasefire prospects, economic ties, or regulatory actions. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of how these catalysts intersect with his established communication style.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
交易量
$262结束日期
2026-05-24市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s recent return from a Beijing summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, coupled with stalled negotiations over Iran, stands as the dominant influence on trader expectations for his social media activity through May 24. Defense Department officials have prepared escalation options should talks fail, while reports of potential IRS settlement talks involving billions in taxpayer funds add domestic angles. These developments align with historical patterns where Trump addresses foreign policy shifts, trade matters, and administration priorities directly on his platforms. Scheduled events such as upcoming congressional briefings and White House updates on sanctions or military posture could further shape content, creating opportunities for posts on ceasefire prospects, economic ties, or regulatory actions. Market pricing reflects trader assessments of how these catalysts intersect with his established communication style.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题