Trump’s consistent high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging roughly 18–19 posts per day through early 2026 with frequent overnight bursts, forms the main driver behind trader expectations for elevated totals in the May 15–22 window. Recent patterns show single-day spikes exceeding 50 posts during periods of policy commentary or repost surges, which can push an eight-day period well above 160. The current market pricing, with 200+ as the leading outcome, reflects this established baseline and the potential for continued intensity rather than any isolated new event. Lower ranges remain viable if posting slows to prior averages, while the overall distribution captures uncertainty around daily fluctuations common in Trump’s social media routine.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月15日至5月22日？
唐纳德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年5月15日至5月22日？
200+ 55%
160-179 30%
120-139 24%
180-199 19.2%
$18,903 交易量
$18,903 交易量
2026-05-22
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
5%
120-139
15%
140-159
14%
160-179
30%
180-199
27%
200+
45%
200+ 55%
160-179 30%
120-139 24%
180-199 19.2%
$18,903 交易量
$18,903 交易量
2026-05-22
60-79
$1,316 交易量
<1%
80-99
$3,298 交易量
<1%
100-119
$891 交易量
5%
120-139
$672 交易量
15%
140-159
$413 交易量
14%
160-179
$274 交易量
30%
180-199
$487 交易量
27%
200+
$677 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s consistent high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging roughly 18–19 posts per day through early 2026 with frequent overnight bursts, forms the main driver behind trader expectations for elevated totals in the May 15–22 window. Recent patterns show single-day spikes exceeding 50 posts during periods of policy commentary or repost surges, which can push an eight-day period well above 160. The current market pricing, with 200+ as the leading outcome, reflects this established baseline and the potential for continued intensity rather than any isolated new event. Lower ranges remain viable if posting slows to prior averages, while the overall distribution captures uncertainty around daily fluctuations common in Trump’s social media routine.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$18,903结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s consistent high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging roughly 18–19 posts per day through early 2026 with frequent overnight bursts, forms the main driver behind trader expectations for elevated totals in the May 15–22 window. Recent patterns show single-day spikes exceeding 50 posts during periods of policy commentary or repost surges, which can push an eight-day period well above 160. The current market pricing, with 200+ as the leading outcome, reflects this established baseline and the potential for continued intensity rather than any isolated new event. Lower ranges remain viable if posting slows to prior averages, while the overall distribution captures uncertainty around daily fluctuations common in Trump’s social media routine.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$18,903结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETTrump’s consistent high-volume activity on Truth Social, averaging roughly 18–19 posts per day through early 2026 with frequent overnight bursts, forms the main driver behind trader expectations for elevated totals in the May 15–22 window. Recent patterns show single-day spikes exceeding 50 posts during periods of policy commentary or repost surges, which can push an eight-day period well above 160. The current market pricing, with 200+ as the leading outcome, reflects this established baseline and the potential for continued intensity rather than any isolated new event. Lower ranges remain viable if posting slows to prior averages, while the overall distribution captures uncertainty around daily fluctuations common in Trump’s social media routine.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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