Zohran Mamdani’s established pattern of moderate activity on the X platform continues to anchor trader expectations for the coming week. As mayor of New York City, Mamdani has maintained a steady pace of roughly three to five posts per day across routine periods since taking office in January 2026, a rhythm that supports communication on city governance, policy updates, and public engagement without overwhelming the administration’s broader operational demands. Recent comparable weekly markets have priced the 20-39 outcome highest for the same reason, with no major scheduled events, legislative sessions, or crises in the immediate forecast expected to shift that baseline. The secondary probability on fewer than 20 posts accounts for the possibility of a lighter schedule or focus on non-digital priorities during the late-May window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市市长#职位2026年5月19日至5月26日?
20-39 88.6%
<20 25%
40-59 2.8%
80-99 1.2%
<20
25%
20-39
77%
40-59
3%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200+
<1%
20-39 88.6%
<20 25%
40-59 2.8%
80-99 1.2%
<20
25%
20-39
77%
40-59
3%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Zohran Mamdani’s established pattern of moderate activity on the X platform continues to anchor trader expectations for the coming week. As mayor of New York City, Mamdani has maintained a steady pace of roughly three to five posts per day across routine periods since taking office in January 2026, a rhythm that supports communication on city governance, policy updates, and public engagement without overwhelming the administration’s broader operational demands. Recent comparable weekly markets have priced the 20-39 outcome highest for the same reason, with no major scheduled events, legislative sessions, or crises in the immediate forecast expected to shift that baseline. The secondary probability on fewer than 20 posts accounts for the possibility of a lighter schedule or focus on non-digital priorities during the late-May window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题