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icon for 纽约市长#职位2026年5月15日至5月22日?

纽约市长#职位2026年5月15日至5月22日?

icon for 纽约市长#职位2026年5月15日至5月22日?

纽约市长#职位2026年5月15日至5月22日?

20-39 90.8%

<20 17.3%

40-59 14.8%

120-139 5.3%

Polymarket
最新

20-39 90.8%

<20 17.3%

40-59 14.8%

120-139 5.3%

Polymarket
最新

<20

$105 交易量

18%

20-39

$158 交易量

91%

40-59

$236 交易量

15%

60-79

$190 交易量

4%

80-99

$220 交易量

3%

100-119

$216 交易量

1%

120-139

$194 交易量

5%

140-159

$221 交易量

3%

160-179

$337 交易量

<1%

180-199

$447 交易量

<1%

200+

$894 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani maintains a consistent posting rhythm on X of roughly two to five updates daily, reflecting routine governance activities such as budget announcements, press conferences, and local policy rollouts. This established cadence, observed across prior weeks in office, produces 14 to 35 posts over seven days and underpins trader consensus around the 20-39 range. No major crises, legislative deadlines, or communications shifts have emerged in the current window to alter that baseline. A sustained surge above five daily posts would require exceptional events such as a high-profile public safety incident or coordinated multi-day initiative launch, while lower volume remains possible during quieter periods but less aligned with recent patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,217
结束日期
2026-05-22
市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani maintains a consistent posting rhythm on X of roughly two to five updates daily, reflecting routine governance activities such as budget announcements, press conferences, and local policy rollouts. This established cadence, observed across prior weeks in office, produces 14 to 35 posts over seven days and underpins trader consensus around the 20-39 range. No major crises, legislative deadlines, or communications shifts have emerged in the current window to alter that baseline. A sustained surge above five daily posts would require exceptional events such as a high-profile public safety incident or coordinated multi-day initiative launch, while lower volume remains possible during quieter periods but less aligned with recent patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,217
结束日期
2026-05-22
市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"纽约市长#职位2026年5月15日至5月22日?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"20-39",概率为 91%,其次是"<20",概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 91¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 91%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"纽约市长#职位2026年5月15日至5月22日?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 12, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"纽约市长#职位2026年5月15日至5月22日?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"纽约市长#职位2026年5月15日至5月22日?"的当前领先者是"20-39",概率为 91%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 91%。紧随其后的结果是"<20",概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"纽约市长#职位2026年5月15日至5月22日?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。