Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.8% for President Lai Ching-te's impeachment by June 30, driven primarily by the Legislative Yuan's seat distribution—DPP holds 51 seats, while opposition KMT (52) and TPP (8) plus independents total around 62, far short of the three-fourths majority (85 votes) constitutionally required to propose and pass an impeachment motion for rebellion or treason. Recent hearings, including opposition-led sessions on May 13-14 over Lai's refusal to promulgate a revised fiscal allocation law amid concerns of fiscal unsustainability, culminated in a scheduled roll-call vote on May 19 that analysts deem symbolic and unlikely to succeed. Even if advanced, the Constitutional Court review adds hurdles. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented DPP defections or legal reinterpretations, though none appear imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$617,753 交易量
$617,753 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$617,753 交易量
$617,753 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.8% for President Lai Ching-te's impeachment by June 30, driven primarily by the Legislative Yuan's seat distribution—DPP holds 51 seats, while opposition KMT (52) and TPP (8) plus independents total around 62, far short of the three-fourths majority (85 votes) constitutionally required to propose and pass an impeachment motion for rebellion or treason. Recent hearings, including opposition-led sessions on May 13-14 over Lai's refusal to promulgate a revised fiscal allocation law amid concerns of fiscal unsustainability, culminated in a scheduled roll-call vote on May 19 that analysts deem symbolic and unlikely to succeed. Even if advanced, the Constitutional Court review adds hurdles. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented DPP defections or legal reinterpretations, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
交易量
$617,753结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.8% for President Lai Ching-te's impeachment by June 30, driven primarily by the Legislative Yuan's seat distribution—DPP holds 51 seats, while opposition KMT (52) and TPP (8) plus independents total around 62, far short of the three-fourths majority (85 votes) constitutionally required to propose and pass an impeachment motion for rebellion or treason. Recent hearings, including opposition-led sessions on May 13-14 over Lai's refusal to promulgate a revised fiscal allocation law amid concerns of fiscal unsustainability, culminated in a scheduled roll-call vote on May 19 that analysts deem symbolic and unlikely to succeed. Even if advanced, the Constitutional Court review adds hurdles. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented DPP defections or legal reinterpretations, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$617,753结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.8% for President Lai Ching-te's impeachment by June 30, driven primarily by the Legislative Yuan's seat distribution—DPP holds 51 seats, while opposition KMT (52) and TPP (8) plus independents total around 62, far short of the three-fourths majority (85 votes) constitutionally required to propose and pass an impeachment motion for rebellion or treason. Recent hearings, including opposition-led sessions on May 13-14 over Lai's refusal to promulgate a revised fiscal allocation law amid concerns of fiscal unsustainability, culminated in a scheduled roll-call vote on May 19 that analysts deem symbolic and unlikely to succeed. Even if advanced, the Constitutional Court review adds hurdles. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented DPP defections or legal reinterpretations, though none appear imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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