OpenAI’s commanding 98.2% implied probability for second-highest revenue this week rests on its sustained lead in large-language-model monetization through ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which continue to outpace rivals by wide margins. Recent model updates and expanded developer tooling have reinforced user adoption and recurring revenue streams, while competitors such as Anthropic and xAI remain smaller in scale and lack comparable commercial traction. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly large licensing deal or product launch from Google DeepMind or another lab to close the gap within days—an outcome traders currently assign only minimal odds given established revenue trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于OpenAI 98.0%
Google 1.4%
Anthropic <1%
Xiaomi <1%
$27,206 交易量
$27,206 交易量
2026-05-17
OpenAI
98%
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
xAI
<1%
OpenAI 98.0%
Google 1.4%
Anthropic <1%
Xiaomi <1%
$27,206 交易量
$27,206 交易量
2026-05-17
OpenAI
$9,700 交易量
98%
$1,707 交易量
1%
Anthropic
$2,252 交易量
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,449 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$950 交易量
<1%
Z.ai
$3,087 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$3,581 交易量
<1%
xAI
$4,480 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.OpenAI’s commanding 98.2% implied probability for second-highest revenue this week rests on its sustained lead in large-language-model monetization through ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which continue to outpace rivals by wide margins. Recent model updates and expanded developer tooling have reinforced user adoption and recurring revenue streams, while competitors such as Anthropic and xAI remain smaller in scale and lack comparable commercial traction. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly large licensing deal or product launch from Google DeepMind or another lab to close the gap within days—an outcome traders currently assign only minimal odds given established revenue trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
交易量
$27,206结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.OpenAI’s commanding 98.2% implied probability for second-highest revenue this week rests on its sustained lead in large-language-model monetization through ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which continue to outpace rivals by wide margins. Recent model updates and expanded developer tooling have reinforced user adoption and recurring revenue streams, while competitors such as Anthropic and xAI remain smaller in scale and lack comparable commercial traction. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly large licensing deal or product launch from Google DeepMind or another lab to close the gap within days—an outcome traders currently assign only minimal odds given established revenue trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
交易量
$27,206结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s commanding 98.2% implied probability for second-highest revenue this week rests on its sustained lead in large-language-model monetization through ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage, which continue to outpace rivals by wide margins. Recent model updates and expanded developer tooling have reinforced user adoption and recurring revenue streams, while competitors such as Anthropic and xAI remain smaller in scale and lack comparable commercial traction. A realistic challenge would require an unexpectedly large licensing deal or product launch from Google DeepMind or another lab to close the gap within days—an outcome traders currently assign only minimal odds given established revenue trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题