Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.6% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official public offering announcements amid reports targeting a Q4 timeline, potentially as early as October. Recent developments, including early talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900–950 billion valuation as of May 12, underscore investor appetite for private capital over near-term public listing, bolstered by Claude large language model revenue run rates exceeding $30 billion annually and competitive positioning against OpenAI. While technical hurdles like SEC review (typically 60–90 days post-filing) make a pre-July debut improbable, an unexpected accelerated S-1 or strategic pivot amid AI safety scrutiny could challenge this positioning ahead of key model releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于截至2026年6月30日尚未上市 98.6%
6000亿美元及以上 <1%
3000–4000亿美元 <1%
2000亿美元–3000亿美元 <1%
$1,283,627 交易量
$1,283,627 交易量
2026-06-30
<100B
<1%
1000–2000亿美元
<1%
2000亿美元–3000亿美元
<1%
3000–4000亿美元
<1%
4000–6000亿美元
<1%
6000亿美元及以上
1%
截至2026年6月30日尚未上市
99%
截至2026年6月30日尚未上市 98.6%
6000亿美元及以上 <1%
3000–4000亿美元 <1%
2000亿美元–3000亿美元 <1%
$1,283,627 交易量
$1,283,627 交易量
2026-06-30
<100B
$257,648 交易量
<1%
1000–2000亿美元
$91,185 交易量
<1%
2000亿美元–3000亿美元
$146,868 交易量
<1%
3000–4000亿美元
$98,246 交易量
<1%
4000–6000亿美元
$158,517 交易量
<1%
6000亿美元及以上
$284,782 交易量
1%
截至2026年6月30日尚未上市
$246,401 交易量
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.6% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official public offering announcements amid reports targeting a Q4 timeline, potentially as early as October. Recent developments, including early talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900–950 billion valuation as of May 12, underscore investor appetite for private capital over near-term public listing, bolstered by Claude large language model revenue run rates exceeding $30 billion annually and competitive positioning against OpenAI. While technical hurdles like SEC review (typically 60–90 days post-filing) make a pre-July debut improbable, an unexpected accelerated S-1 or strategic pivot amid AI safety scrutiny could challenge this positioning ahead of key model releases.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,283,627结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.6% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official public offering announcements amid reports targeting a Q4 timeline, potentially as early as October. Recent developments, including early talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900–950 billion valuation as of May 12, underscore investor appetite for private capital over near-term public listing, bolstered by Claude large language model revenue run rates exceeding $30 billion annually and competitive positioning against OpenAI. While technical hurdles like SEC review (typically 60–90 days post-filing) make a pre-July debut improbable, an unexpected accelerated S-1 or strategic pivot amid AI safety scrutiny could challenge this positioning ahead of key model releases.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,283,627结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.6% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official public offering announcements amid reports targeting a Q4 timeline, potentially as early as October. Recent developments, including early talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900–950 billion valuation as of May 12, underscore investor appetite for private capital over near-term public listing, bolstered by Claude large language model revenue run rates exceeding $30 billion annually and competitive positioning against OpenAI. While technical hurdles like SEC review (typically 60–90 days post-filing) make a pre-July debut improbable, an unexpected accelerated S-1 or strategic pivot amid AI safety scrutiny could challenge this positioning ahead of key model releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题