Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月18日 79%
7 月 19 日 79%
截至7月31日不发布 74%
7月11日 60%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
在 7 月 1 日或之前
29%
7 月 2 日
14%
7 月 3 日
38%
7 月 4 日
42%
7 月 5 日
39%
7 月 6 日
2%
7 月 7 日
42%
7月8日
21%
7 月 9 日
38%
7月10日
59%
7月11日
60%
7 月 12 日
22%
7月13日
42%
7 月 14 日
53%
July 15
-
7月16日
39%
7 月 17 日
2%
7月18日
79%
7 月 19 日
79%
7月20日
20%
7月21日
34%
7 月 22 日
38%
7月23日
2%
7 月 24 日
21%
July 25
39%
7月26日
18%
7 月 27 日
37%
7 月 28 日
38%
7 月 29 日
40%
7月30日
38%
7 月 31 日
41%
截至7月31日不发布
71%
7月18日 79%
7 月 19 日 79%
截至7月31日不发布 74%
7月11日 60%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
在 7 月 1 日或之前
$112 交易量
29%
7 月 2 日
$21 交易量
14%
7 月 3 日
$51 交易量
38%
7 月 4 日
$51 交易量
42%
7 月 5 日
$51 交易量
39%
7 月 6 日
$56 交易量
2%
7 月 7 日
$56 交易量
42%
7月8日
$51 交易量
21%
7 月 9 日
$51 交易量
38%
7月10日
$33 交易量
59%
7月11日
$56 交易量
60%
7 月 12 日
$56 交易量
22%
7月13日
$46 交易量
42%
7 月 14 日
$33 交易量
53%
July 15
$46 交易量
-
7月16日
$51 交易量
39%
7 月 17 日
$51 交易量
2%
7月18日
$56 交易量
79%
7 月 19 日
$56 交易量
79%
7月20日
$56 交易量
20%
7月21日
$56 交易量
34%
7 月 22 日
$56 交易量
38%
7月23日
$56 交易量
2%
7 月 24 日
$51 交易量
21%
July 25
$51 交易量
39%
7月26日
$56 交易量
18%
7 月 27 日
$51 交易量
37%
7 月 28 日
$56 交易量
38%
7 月 29 日
$51 交易量
40%
7月30日
$56 交易量
38%
7 月 31 日
$56 交易量
41%
截至7月31日不发布
$320 交易量
71%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$1,964结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,964结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题