Absence of any official Google announcement or confirmed timeline for the next Gemini Pro large language model keeps trader sentiment evenly split, with “no release by June 30” at 20.4% narrowly ahead of June 23 at 18.0%. Google’s pattern of iterative releases within the Gemini 3 series, most recently the February 2026 Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, suggests ongoing internal validation and multimodal capability testing before a flagship update. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models, combined with the lack of Google I/O or earnings commentary on near-term launches, supports the dispersed odds across mid-to-late June. Traders price in realistic delays or an early-July rollout until clearer signals emerge from supply-chain reports or executive statements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在6月30日之前不发布 20.5%
6 月 23 日 18%
6月30日 15%
6 月 22 日 8.4%
$97,072 交易量
$97,072 交易量
6 月 10 日
<1%
6月11日
4%
6 月 12 日
<1%
6 月 13 日
<1%
6月14日
<1%
6 月 15 日
4%
6月16日
8%
6 月 17 日
8%
6 月 18 日
6%
6 月 19 日
1%
6 月 20 日
1%
6 月 21 日
1%
6 月 22 日
8%
6 月 23 日
18%
6月24日
3%
6月25日
1%
6 月 26 日
6%
6 月 27 日
1%
6 月 28 日
<1%
6月29日
1%
6月30日
15%
在6月30日之前不发布
20%
在6月30日之前不发布 20.5%
6 月 23 日 18%
6月30日 15%
6 月 22 日 8.4%
$97,072 交易量
$97,072 交易量
6 月 10 日
<1%
6月11日
4%
6 月 12 日
<1%
6 月 13 日
<1%
6月14日
<1%
6 月 15 日
4%
6月16日
8%
6 月 17 日
8%
6 月 18 日
6%
6 月 19 日
1%
6 月 20 日
1%
6 月 21 日
1%
6 月 22 日
8%
6 月 23 日
18%
6月24日
3%
6月25日
1%
6 月 26 日
6%
6 月 27 日
1%
6 月 28 日
<1%
6月29日
1%
6月30日
15%
在6月30日之前不发布
20%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Absence of any official Google announcement or confirmed timeline for the next Gemini Pro large language model keeps trader sentiment evenly split, with “no release by June 30” at 20.4% narrowly ahead of June 23 at 18.0%. Google’s pattern of iterative releases within the Gemini 3 series, most recently the February 2026 Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, suggests ongoing internal validation and multimodal capability testing before a flagship update. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic models, combined with the lack of Google I/O or earnings commentary on near-term launches, supports the dispersed odds across mid-to-late June. Traders price in realistic delays or an early-July rollout until clearer signals emerge from supply-chain reports or executive statements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题