The closely contested 51% implied probability for an up close on SpaceX’s second trading day stems from the tension between strong initial demand and concerns over sustainability at a $1.75 trillion valuation. The May S-1 filing revealed substantial operating losses alongside bets on Starship payloads later in 2026 and space-based data centers, while the fixed $135 IPO price and 30% retail allocation have fueled enthusiasm visible in pre-listing futures. Traders weigh typical IPO momentum against risks of profit-taking, execution timelines for ambitious AI and rocket initiatives, and Musk’s dominant voting control. The June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX and any immediate post-launch updates on partnerships or Starship progress remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment decisively.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于上涨
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This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.The closely contested 51% implied probability for an up close on SpaceX’s second trading day stems from the tension between strong initial demand and concerns over sustainability at a $1.75 trillion valuation. The May S-1 filing revealed substantial operating losses alongside bets on Starship payloads later in 2026 and space-based data centers, while the fixed $135 IPO price and 30% retail allocation have fueled enthusiasm visible in pre-listing futures. Traders weigh typical IPO momentum against risks of profit-taking, execution timelines for ambitious AI and rocket initiatives, and Musk’s dominant voting control. The June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX and any immediate post-launch updates on partnerships or Starship progress remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment decisively.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 1:35 AM ET
交易量
$293市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 1:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.The closely contested 51% implied probability for an up close on SpaceX’s second trading day stems from the tension between strong initial demand and concerns over sustainability at a $1.75 trillion valuation. The May S-1 filing revealed substantial operating losses alongside bets on Starship payloads later in 2026 and space-based data centers, while the fixed $135 IPO price and 30% retail allocation have fueled enthusiasm visible in pre-listing futures. Traders weigh typical IPO momentum against risks of profit-taking, execution timelines for ambitious AI and rocket initiatives, and Musk’s dominant voting control. The June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX and any immediate post-launch updates on partnerships or Starship progress remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment decisively.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s second day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
交易量
$293市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 1:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The closely contested 51% implied probability for an up close on SpaceX’s second trading day stems from the tension between strong initial demand and concerns over sustainability at a $1.75 trillion valuation. The May S-1 filing revealed substantial operating losses alongside bets on Starship payloads later in 2026 and space-based data centers, while the fixed $135 IPO price and 30% retail allocation have fueled enthusiasm visible in pre-listing futures. Traders weigh typical IPO momentum against risks of profit-taking, execution timelines for ambitious AI and rocket initiatives, and Musk’s dominant voting control. The June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX and any immediate post-launch updates on partnerships or Starship progress remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment decisively.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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