Traders assign a 95.5% implied probability that SpaceX will complete its IPO and meet Nasdaq-100 criteria in 2026, reflecting strong capital-backed consensus around the company's valuation scale, reusable launch cadence, and satellite constellation growth. This positioning draws from established timelines for large private firms transitioning to public markets and leadership signals favoring liquidity events. Still, realistic scenarios could alter the outcome, such as extended SEC review periods, shifts in market capitalization thresholds, or operational delays in achieving required listing standards before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2027-01-01
是
最新
最新
2027-01-01
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).Traders assign a 95.5% implied probability that SpaceX will complete its IPO and meet Nasdaq-100 criteria in 2026, reflecting strong capital-backed consensus around the company's valuation scale, reusable launch cadence, and satellite constellation growth. This positioning draws from established timelines for large private firms transitioning to public markets and leadership signals favoring liquidity events. Still, realistic scenarios could alter the outcome, such as extended SEC review periods, shifts in market capitalization thresholds, or operational delays in achieving required listing standards before year-end.
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
交易量
$514结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).Traders assign a 95.5% implied probability that SpaceX will complete its IPO and meet Nasdaq-100 criteria in 2026, reflecting strong capital-backed consensus around the company's valuation scale, reusable launch cadence, and satellite constellation growth. This positioning draws from established timelines for large private firms transitioning to public markets and leadership signals favoring liquidity events. Still, realistic scenarios could alter the outcome, such as extended SEC review periods, shifts in market capitalization thresholds, or operational delays in achieving required listing standards before year-end.
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
交易量
$514结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 95.5% implied probability that SpaceX will complete its IPO and meet Nasdaq-100 criteria in 2026, reflecting strong capital-backed consensus around the company's valuation scale, reusable launch cadence, and satellite constellation growth. This positioning draws from established timelines for large private firms transitioning to public markets and leadership signals favoring liquidity events. Still, realistic scenarios could alter the outcome, such as extended SEC review periods, shifts in market capitalization thresholds, or operational delays in achieving required listing standards before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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