Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, reflecting the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range, bolstered by its February xAI merger that elevated private valuation to $1.25 trillion and a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $15-16 billion for 2025—alongside Starship milestones and AI integration synergies have fueled optimism, pushing 29% odds for $2.00-2.25 trillion despite valuation skepticism. A June roadshow and potential listing loom as pivotal catalysts amid high secondary market demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.75-2.00万亿 53%
1.50-1.75万亿 15.7%
2.25-2.50万亿 14.7%
2.00-2.25万亿 11%
$132,959 交易量
$132,959 交易量
低于1.25万亿美元
<1%
1.25-1.50万亿
6%
1.50-1.75万亿
22%
1.75-2.00万亿
53%
2.00-2.25万亿
28%
2.25-2.50万亿
15%
2.50万亿美元以上
6%
1.75-2.00万亿 53%
1.50-1.75万亿 15.7%
2.25-2.50万亿 14.7%
2.00-2.25万亿 11%
$132,959 交易量
$132,959 交易量
低于1.25万亿美元
$60,323 交易量
<1%
1.25-1.50万亿
$16,025 交易量
6%
1.50-1.75万亿
$8,945 交易量
22%
1.75-2.00万亿
$12,910 交易量
53%
2.00-2.25万亿
$13,938 交易量
28%
2.25-2.50万亿
$10,055 交易量
15%
2.50万亿美元以上
$10,762 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, reflecting the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range, bolstered by its February xAI merger that elevated private valuation to $1.25 trillion and a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $15-16 billion for 2025—alongside Starship milestones and AI integration synergies have fueled optimism, pushing 29% odds for $2.00-2.25 trillion despite valuation skepticism. A June roadshow and potential listing loom as pivotal catalysts amid high secondary market demand.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$132,959市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, reflecting the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range, bolstered by its February xAI merger that elevated private valuation to $1.25 trillion and a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $15-16 billion for 2025—alongside Starship milestones and AI integration synergies have fueled optimism, pushing 29% odds for $2.00-2.25 trillion despite valuation skepticism. A June roadshow and potential listing loom as pivotal catalysts amid high secondary market demand.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$132,959市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, reflecting the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range, bolstered by its February xAI merger that elevated private valuation to $1.25 trillion and a December 2025 tender offer at $800 billion. Surging Starlink revenue—projected at $15-16 billion for 2025—alongside Starship milestones and AI integration synergies have fueled optimism, pushing 29% odds for $2.00-2.25 trillion despite valuation skepticism. A June roadshow and potential listing loom as pivotal catalysts amid high secondary market demand.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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