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icon for 12月31日的第二大富豪？

12月31日的第二大富豪？

icon for 12月31日的第二大富豪？

12月31日的第二大富豪？

拉里·佩奇 48%

谢尔盖·布林 28.4%

史蒂夫·鲍尔默 24.5%

马克·扎克伯格 11.0%

Polymarket

$46,097 交易量

拉里·佩奇 48%

谢尔盖·布林 28.4%

史蒂夫·鲍尔默 24.5%

马克·扎克伯格 11.0%

Polymarket

$46,097 交易量

icon for 拉里·佩奇

拉里·佩奇

$21,060 交易量

68%

icon for 谢尔盖·布林

谢尔盖·布林

$7,498 交易量

28%

icon for 史蒂夫·鲍尔默

史蒂夫·鲍尔默

$1,193 交易量

25%

icon for 马克·扎克伯格

马克·扎克伯格

$592 交易量

10%

icon for 拉里·埃里森

拉里·埃里森

$913 交易量

10%

icon for 杰夫·贝索斯

杰夫·贝索斯

$9,743 交易量

24%

icon for 埃隆·马斯克

埃隆·马斯克

$896 交易量

2%

icon for 黄仁勋

黄仁勋

$1,410 交易量

25%

icon for 沃伦·巴菲特

沃伦·巴菲特

$1,887 交易量

23%

icon for 贝尔纳·阿尔诺

贝尔纳·阿尔诺

$905 交易量

22%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 68% to finish as the world’s second-richest person on December 31, reflecting his current #2 ranking behind Elon Musk and Alphabet’s sustained stock gains tied to AI momentum. Traders see Sergey Brin at 28% as a close peer whose parallel Alphabet stake keeps him competitive, while Jensen Huang (25%), Steve Ballmer (25%), and Jeff Bezos (24%) trail due to comparatively modest recent appreciation in Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon shares. Verifiable wealth trackers show Page’s fortune climbing steadily this summer on Google’s AI integration and earnings strength, positioning him ahead of peers whose valuations have faced more volatility. With roughly four months left, further Alphabet performance or shifts in Musk’s holdings remain the key swing factors for year-end resolution.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$46,097
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 68% to finish as the world’s second-richest person on December 31, reflecting his current #2 ranking behind Elon Musk and Alphabet’s sustained stock gains tied to AI momentum. Traders see Sergey Brin at 28% as a close peer whose parallel Alphabet stake keeps him competitive, while Jensen Huang (25%), Steve Ballmer (25%), and Jeff Bezos (24%) trail due to comparatively modest recent appreciation in Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon shares. Verifiable wealth trackers show Page’s fortune climbing steadily this summer on Google’s AI integration and earnings strength, positioning him ahead of peers whose valuations have faced more volatility. With roughly four months left, further Alphabet performance or shifts in Musk’s holdings remain the key swing factors for year-end resolution.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$46,097
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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常见问题

"12月31日的第二大富豪？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"拉里·佩奇"，概率为 68%，其次是"谢尔盖·布林"，概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 68¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 68%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"12月31日的第二大富豪？"已产生 $46.1K 的总交易量（自Jan 30, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"12月31日的第二大富豪？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"12月31日的第二大富豪？"的当前领先者是"拉里·佩奇"，概率为 68%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 68%。紧随其后的结果是"谢尔盖·布林"，概率为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"12月31日的第二大富豪？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。