Alphabet's recent AI-fueled stock rally, including cloud revenue surges and a 100%+ yearly gain that pushed Larry Page past the $300 billion mark, has driven trader consensus toward the Google co-founders for second-richest status by year-end. Page and Brin hold closely matched leads at 37.5% and 34.6% implied probability due to their near-identical Alphabet stakes and the company's full-stack AI positioning, while Larry Ellison's 25.6% reflects Oracle's AI infrastructure momentum. Differentiators include Alphabet's broader search and distribution advantages versus Ellison's narrower cloud focus or Nvidia's chip dominance, with year-end earnings and market swings as key swing factors in this tight race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2nd richest person on December 31?
2nd richest person on December 31?
Sergey Brin 49.0%
Larry Page 39%
Bernard Arnault 21.6%
Mark Zuckerberg 11.0%
$45,364 交易量
$45,364 交易量
2026-03-31
Sergey Brin
49%
Larry Page
39%
Bernard Arnault
22%
Mark Zuckerberg
17%
Jensen Huang
4%
Jeff Bezos
4%
Larry Ellison
9%
Steve Ballmer
23%
Warren Buffett
<1%
Elon Musk
5%
Sergey Brin 49.0%
Larry Page 39%
Bernard Arnault 21.6%
Mark Zuckerberg 11.0%
$45,364 交易量
$45,364 交易量
2026-03-31
Sergey Brin
$7,404 交易量
49%
Larry Page
$21,018 交易量
39%
Bernard Arnault
$905 交易量
22%
Mark Zuckerberg
$592 交易量
17%
Jensen Huang
$1,058 交易量
4%
Jeff Bezos
$9,725 交易量
4%
Larry Ellison
$913 交易量
9%
Steve Ballmer
$1,193 交易量
23%
Warren Buffett
$1,660 交易量
<1%
Elon Musk
$896 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Alphabet's recent AI-fueled stock rally, including cloud revenue surges and a 100%+ yearly gain that pushed Larry Page past the $300 billion mark, has driven trader consensus toward the Google co-founders for second-richest status by year-end. Page and Brin hold closely matched leads at 37.5% and 34.6% implied probability due to their near-identical Alphabet stakes and the company's full-stack AI positioning, while Larry Ellison's 25.6% reflects Oracle's AI infrastructure momentum. Differentiators include Alphabet's broader search and distribution advantages versus Ellison's narrower cloud focus or Nvidia's chip dominance, with year-end earnings and market swings as key swing factors in this tight race.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
交易量
$45,364结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Alphabet's recent AI-fueled stock rally, including cloud revenue surges and a 100%+ yearly gain that pushed Larry Page past the $300 billion mark, has driven trader consensus toward the Google co-founders for second-richest status by year-end. Page and Brin hold closely matched leads at 37.5% and 34.6% implied probability due to their near-identical Alphabet stakes and the company's full-stack AI positioning, while Larry Ellison's 25.6% reflects Oracle's AI infrastructure momentum. Differentiators include Alphabet's broader search and distribution advantages versus Ellison's narrower cloud focus or Nvidia's chip dominance, with year-end earnings and market swings as key swing factors in this tight race.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$45,364结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alphabet's recent AI-fueled stock rally, including cloud revenue surges and a 100%+ yearly gain that pushed Larry Page past the $300 billion mark, has driven trader consensus toward the Google co-founders for second-richest status by year-end. Page and Brin hold closely matched leads at 37.5% and 34.6% implied probability due to their near-identical Alphabet stakes and the company's full-stack AI positioning, while Larry Ellison's 25.6% reflects Oracle's AI infrastructure momentum. Differentiators include Alphabet's broader search and distribution advantages versus Ellison's narrower cloud focus or Nvidia's chip dominance, with year-end earnings and market swings as key swing factors in this tight race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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