OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's testimony on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company—alleging betrayal of its nonprofit AI safety mission—has driven Polymarket's "Yes" outcome to 100% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital. Altman defended OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, Microsoft's partnership, and rebutted Musk's claims of dishonesty, including Musk's reported demand for 90% equity control, sharpening the trial's focus on AI governance and competitive dynamics between OpenAI and xAI. With the witness appearance confirmed via court records and extensive media coverage, strong consensus stems from this verifiable event fulfilling market criteria. Realistic risks remain minimal but could include rare procedural motions to strike testimony or appeals altering resolution amid the ongoing Oakland trial.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$13,377 交易量
$13,377 交易量
是
$13,377 交易量
$13,377 交易量
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's testimony on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company—alleging betrayal of its nonprofit AI safety mission—has driven Polymarket's "Yes" outcome to 100% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital. Altman defended OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, Microsoft's partnership, and rebutted Musk's claims of dishonesty, including Musk's reported demand for 90% equity control, sharpening the trial's focus on AI governance and competitive dynamics between OpenAI and xAI. With the witness appearance confirmed via court records and extensive media coverage, strong consensus stems from this verifiable event fulfilling market criteria. Realistic risks remain minimal but could include rare procedural motions to strike testimony or appeals altering resolution amid the ongoing Oakland trial.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
交易量
$13,377市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's testimony on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company—alleging betrayal of its nonprofit AI safety mission—has driven Polymarket's "Yes" outcome to 100% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital. Altman defended OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, Microsoft's partnership, and rebutted Musk's claims of dishonesty, including Musk's reported demand for 90% equity control, sharpening the trial's focus on AI governance and competitive dynamics between OpenAI and xAI. With the witness appearance confirmed via court records and extensive media coverage, strong consensus stems from this verifiable event fulfilling market criteria. Realistic risks remain minimal but could include rare procedural motions to strike testimony or appeals altering resolution amid the ongoing Oakland trial.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,377市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's testimony on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company—alleging betrayal of its nonprofit AI safety mission—has driven Polymarket's "Yes" outcome to 100% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital. Altman defended OpenAI's for-profit restructuring, Microsoft's partnership, and rebutted Musk's claims of dishonesty, including Musk's reported demand for 90% equity control, sharpening the trial's focus on AI governance and competitive dynamics between OpenAI and xAI. With the witness appearance confirmed via court records and extensive media coverage, strong consensus stems from this verifiable event fulfilling market criteria. Realistic risks remain minimal but could include rare procedural motions to strike testimony or appeals altering resolution amid the ongoing Oakland trial.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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