Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest majority probability (37.3% for 50-60 billion dollars, 24.0% for 70-80 billion dollars) for SpaceX's initial public offering raise in the 50-80 billion dollar range, reflecting recent reports of a targeted 70-75 billion dollar offering—the largest ever—at a 1.75-2 trillion dollar valuation, surpassing Saudi Aramco's record. This positioning stems from SpaceX's April confidential IPO filing, accelerated employee share vesting, and Brookfield's 2 billion dollar pre-IPO stake accumulation as of May 14, alongside Starlink's subscriber surge to 10 million driving revenue growth from prior 800 billion dollar tender offers. Upcoming catalysts include next week's prospectus release, June 8 roadshow, and potential June 11 pricing on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, with valuation hinging on orbital AI infrastructure and launch dominance disclosures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$139,071 交易量
$139,071 交易量
少于400亿美元
13%
400-500亿美元
8%
500-600亿美元
37%
600-700亿
10%
700亿-800亿
24%
800亿-900亿
19%
90-100B
6%
100-1100亿
4%
1100-1200亿
4%
1200亿美元以上
4%
$139,071 交易量
$139,071 交易量
少于400亿美元
$10,344 交易量
13%
400-500亿美元
$5,642 交易量
8%
500-600亿美元
$33,199 交易量
37%
600-700亿
$14,185 交易量
10%
700亿-800亿
$24,628 交易量
24%
800亿-900亿
$15,593 交易量
19%
90-100B
$10,727 交易量
6%
100-1100亿
$7,565 交易量
4%
1100-1200亿
$9,411 交易量
4%
1200亿美元以上
$7,777 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest majority probability (37.3% for 50-60 billion dollars, 24.0% for 70-80 billion dollars) for SpaceX's initial public offering raise in the 50-80 billion dollar range, reflecting recent reports of a targeted 70-75 billion dollar offering—the largest ever—at a 1.75-2 trillion dollar valuation, surpassing Saudi Aramco's record. This positioning stems from SpaceX's April confidential IPO filing, accelerated employee share vesting, and Brookfield's 2 billion dollar pre-IPO stake accumulation as of May 14, alongside Starlink's subscriber surge to 10 million driving revenue growth from prior 800 billion dollar tender offers. Upcoming catalysts include next week's prospectus release, June 8 roadshow, and potential June 11 pricing on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, with valuation hinging on orbital AI infrastructure and launch dominance disclosures.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
交易量
$139,071市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest majority probability (37.3% for 50-60 billion dollars, 24.0% for 70-80 billion dollars) for SpaceX's initial public offering raise in the 50-80 billion dollar range, reflecting recent reports of a targeted 70-75 billion dollar offering—the largest ever—at a 1.75-2 trillion dollar valuation, surpassing Saudi Aramco's record. This positioning stems from SpaceX's April confidential IPO filing, accelerated employee share vesting, and Brookfield's 2 billion dollar pre-IPO stake accumulation as of May 14, alongside Starlink's subscriber surge to 10 million driving revenue growth from prior 800 billion dollar tender offers. Upcoming catalysts include next week's prospectus release, June 8 roadshow, and potential June 11 pricing on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, with valuation hinging on orbital AI infrastructure and launch dominance disclosures.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$139,071市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest majority probability (37.3% for 50-60 billion dollars, 24.0% for 70-80 billion dollars) for SpaceX's initial public offering raise in the 50-80 billion dollar range, reflecting recent reports of a targeted 70-75 billion dollar offering—the largest ever—at a 1.75-2 trillion dollar valuation, surpassing Saudi Aramco's record. This positioning stems from SpaceX's April confidential IPO filing, accelerated employee share vesting, and Brookfield's 2 billion dollar pre-IPO stake accumulation as of May 14, alongside Starlink's subscriber surge to 10 million driving revenue growth from prior 800 billion dollar tender offers. Upcoming catalysts include next week's prospectus release, June 8 roadshow, and potential June 11 pricing on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, with valuation hinging on orbital AI infrastructure and launch dominance disclosures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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