Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's net worth at May 31 above $690 billion with 46.5% implied probability, reflecting recent Tesla share price strength near $433—up from March lows around $380—boosting his ~13% stake amid energy storage revenue recognition and robotics optimism. Supporting this positioning, SpaceX's December 2025 tender valued the company at $800 billion (Musk ~42% ownership) and xAI's January 2026 round at $230 billion, per Bloomberg, driving Forbes real-time estimates to $828 billion as of May 14, up 1% intraday. Yet probabilities cluster in $640-690 billion bands (cumulative ~57%) due to Tesla's high P/E volatility, potential secondary sales dilution, and macro risk-off sentiment, with resolution imminent in two weeks amid no major catalysts scheduled.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于690b+ 55%
680-690b 14%
670-680b 12%
660-670b 9%
$18,370 交易量
$18,370 交易量
<610b
1%
610-620b
3%
620-630b
7%
630-640b
6%
640-650b
8%
650-660b
8%
660-670b
9%
670-680b
12%
680-690b
14%
690b+
48%
690b+ 55%
680-690b 14%
670-680b 12%
660-670b 9%
$18,370 交易量
$18,370 交易量
<610b
1%
610-620b
3%
620-630b
7%
630-640b
6%
640-650b
8%
650-660b
8%
660-670b
9%
670-680b
12%
680-690b
14%
690b+
48%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's net worth at May 31 above $690 billion with 46.5% implied probability, reflecting recent Tesla share price strength near $433—up from March lows around $380—boosting his ~13% stake amid energy storage revenue recognition and robotics optimism. Supporting this positioning, SpaceX's December 2025 tender valued the company at $800 billion (Musk ~42% ownership) and xAI's January 2026 round at $230 billion, per Bloomberg, driving Forbes real-time estimates to $828 billion as of May 14, up 1% intraday. Yet probabilities cluster in $640-690 billion bands (cumulative ~57%) due to Tesla's high P/E volatility, potential secondary sales dilution, and macro risk-off sentiment, with resolution imminent in two weeks amid no major catalysts scheduled.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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