Figure's F.03 humanoid robots have driven trader consensus toward extended uptime in their ongoing livestream, achieving over 24 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting without failure as of May 14, elevating the 200h+ outcome to a 38% implied probability. This milestone stems from recent production scaling at BotQ—ramping from one robot per day to one per hour—coupled with advanced failure diagnostics that resolved hardware issues invisible at smaller scales. The closely contested 50-100h (23.5%) and 100-200h (24.0%) buckets reflect caution over potential mechanical wear, battery swaps (five-hour runtime per charge), or software glitches in dynamic environments. Traders eye the livestream's progression past 50 hours as the next key catalyst amid competitive humanoid reliability benchmarks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于200小时+ 38%
100-200小时 23%
50-100小时 22%
8-50小时 8%
最新
$20,744 交易量
最新
$20,744 交易量
2026-05-21
8-50小时
8%
50-100小时
22%
100-200小时
23%
200小时+
38%
200小时+ 38%
100-200小时 23%
50-100小时 22%
8-50小时 8%
最新
$20,744 交易量
最新
$20,744 交易量
2026-05-21
8-50小时
$8,816 交易量
8%
50-100小时
$2,789 交易量
22%
100-200小时
$2,105 交易量
23%
200小时+
$6,852 交易量
38%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure's F.03 humanoid robots have driven trader consensus toward extended uptime in their ongoing livestream, achieving over 24 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting without failure as of May 14, elevating the 200h+ outcome to a 38% implied probability. This milestone stems from recent production scaling at BotQ—ramping from one robot per day to one per hour—coupled with advanced failure diagnostics that resolved hardware issues invisible at smaller scales. The closely contested 50-100h (23.5%) and 100-200h (24.0%) buckets reflect caution over potential mechanical wear, battery swaps (five-hour runtime per charge), or software glitches in dynamic environments. Traders eye the livestream's progression past 50 hours as the next key catalyst amid competitive humanoid reliability benchmarks.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
交易量
$20,744结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure's F.03 humanoid robots have driven trader consensus toward extended uptime in their ongoing livestream, achieving over 24 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting without failure as of May 14, elevating the 200h+ outcome to a 38% implied probability. This milestone stems from recent production scaling at BotQ—ramping from one robot per day to one per hour—coupled with advanced failure diagnostics that resolved hardware issues invisible at smaller scales. The closely contested 50-100h (23.5%) and 100-200h (24.0%) buckets reflect caution over potential mechanical wear, battery swaps (five-hour runtime per charge), or software glitches in dynamic environments. Traders eye the livestream's progression past 50 hours as the next key catalyst amid competitive humanoid reliability benchmarks.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20,744结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Figure's F.03 humanoid robots have driven trader consensus toward extended uptime in their ongoing livestream, achieving over 24 hours of continuous autonomous package sorting without failure as of May 14, elevating the 200h+ outcome to a 38% implied probability. This milestone stems from recent production scaling at BotQ—ramping from one robot per day to one per hour—coupled with advanced failure diagnostics that resolved hardware issues invisible at smaller scales. The closely contested 50-100h (23.5%) and 100-200h (24.0%) buckets reflect caution over potential mechanical wear, battery swaps (five-hour runtime per charge), or software glitches in dynamic environments. Traders eye the livestream's progression past 50 hours as the next key catalyst amid competitive humanoid reliability benchmarks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题