Anthropic’s rapid ascent toward a $900–950 billion valuation in an imminent $30–50 billion funding round has anchored the 88.5% market-implied probability that it will trade above OpenAI by year-end 2026. Secondary-market data already show Anthropic shares clearing $1 trillion on platforms such as Forge Global, while OpenAI’s most recent post-money mark stands at $852 billion after its March raise. Enterprise revenue run-rates favor Anthropic at an estimated $39–45 billion annualized versus roughly $25 billion for OpenAI, supported by expanded cloud commitments from Amazon and Google. Key catalysts ahead include potential closing of the summer financing round and H2 IPO preparations, though sustained execution on model performance and capital access will determine whether the current valuation gap persists through resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$78,192 交易量
$78,192 交易量
2026-12-31
$78,192 交易量
$78,192 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic’s rapid ascent toward a $900–950 billion valuation in an imminent $30–50 billion funding round has anchored the 88.5% market-implied probability that it will trade above OpenAI by year-end 2026. Secondary-market data already show Anthropic shares clearing $1 trillion on platforms such as Forge Global, while OpenAI’s most recent post-money mark stands at $852 billion after its March raise. Enterprise revenue run-rates favor Anthropic at an estimated $39–45 billion annualized versus roughly $25 billion for OpenAI, supported by expanded cloud commitments from Amazon and Google. Key catalysts ahead include potential closing of the summer financing round and H2 IPO preparations, though sustained execution on model performance and capital access will determine whether the current valuation gap persists through resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
交易量
$78,192结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic’s rapid ascent toward a $900–950 billion valuation in an imminent $30–50 billion funding round has anchored the 88.5% market-implied probability that it will trade above OpenAI by year-end 2026. Secondary-market data already show Anthropic shares clearing $1 trillion on platforms such as Forge Global, while OpenAI’s most recent post-money mark stands at $852 billion after its March raise. Enterprise revenue run-rates favor Anthropic at an estimated $39–45 billion annualized versus roughly $25 billion for OpenAI, supported by expanded cloud commitments from Amazon and Google. Key catalysts ahead include potential closing of the summer financing round and H2 IPO preparations, though sustained execution on model performance and capital access will determine whether the current valuation gap persists through resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$78,192结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid ascent toward a $900–950 billion valuation in an imminent $30–50 billion funding round has anchored the 88.5% market-implied probability that it will trade above OpenAI by year-end 2026. Secondary-market data already show Anthropic shares clearing $1 trillion on platforms such as Forge Global, while OpenAI’s most recent post-money mark stands at $852 billion after its March raise. Enterprise revenue run-rates favor Anthropic at an estimated $39–45 billion annualized versus roughly $25 billion for OpenAI, supported by expanded cloud commitments from Amazon and Google. Key catalysts ahead include potential closing of the summer financing round and H2 IPO preparations, though sustained execution on model performance and capital access will determine whether the current valuation gap persists through resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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