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icon for 到6月30日,哪些公司将拥有排名第一的人工智能模型?

到6月30日,哪些公司将拥有排名第一的人工智能模型?

icon for 到6月30日,哪些公司将拥有排名第一的人工智能模型?

到6月30日,哪些公司将拥有排名第一的人工智能模型?

$1,557,511 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$1,557,511 交易量

Polymarket
icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$406,435 交易量

11%

icon for xAI

xAI

$556,138 交易量

5%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$13,187 交易量

5%

icon for Meta

Meta

$15,361 交易量

5%

icon for 百度

百度

$3,154 交易量

3%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$10,160 交易量

3%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$275,002 交易量

2%

icon for 英伟达

英伟达

$6,421 交易量

2%

icon for 阿里巴巴

阿里巴巴

$10,627 交易量

2%

icon for 美团

美团

$3,056 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.OpenAI's GPT-5.5 currently dominates key AI leaderboards like the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index at a score of 60, outpacing Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, both at 57, reflecting its superior reasoning and agentic capabilities demonstrated in recent May evaluations. This edge stems from OpenAI's early-May rollout of GPT-5.5 variants, including the xhigh configuration now default in ChatGPT, amid a flurry of frontier model releases from rivals like xAI's Grok 4.3 and Chinese open-weights such as Kimi K2.6. Trader sentiment remains fragmented due to rapid iteration cycles, with potential flips from upcoming previews—watch xAI, Mistral, or Meta announcements before the June 30 LMArena.ai Arena Score resolution deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
交易量
$1,557,511
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.OpenAI's GPT-5.5 currently dominates key AI leaderboards like the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index at a score of 60, outpacing Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, both at 57, reflecting its superior reasoning and agentic capabilities demonstrated in recent May evaluations. This edge stems from OpenAI's early-May rollout of GPT-5.5 variants, including the xhigh configuration now default in ChatGPT, amid a flurry of frontier model releases from rivals like xAI's Grok 4.3 and Chinese open-weights such as Kimi K2.6. Trader sentiment remains fragmented due to rapid iteration cycles, with potential flips from upcoming previews—watch xAI, Mistral, or Meta announcements before the June 30 LMArena.ai Arena Score resolution deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
交易量
$1,557,511
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

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常见问题

"到6月30日,哪些公司将拥有排名第一的人工智能模型?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Anthropic",概率为 100%,其次是"OpenAI",概率为 11%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"到6月30日,哪些公司将拥有排名第一的人工智能模型?"已产生 $1.6 million 的总交易量(自Dec 22, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"到6月30日,哪些公司将拥有排名第一的人工智能模型?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"到6月30日,哪些公司将拥有排名第一的人工智能模型?"的当前领先者是"Anthropic",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"OpenAI",概率为 11%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"到6月30日,哪些公司将拥有排名第一的人工智能模型?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。