Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,694,033 交易量
2026-06-30
OpenAI
1%
Baidu
1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
Meituan
<1%
xAI
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
$1,694,033 交易量
OpenAI
$449,433 交易量
1%
Baidu
$12,315 交易量
1%
Z.ai
$19,625 交易量
<1%
Meta
$27,984 交易量
<1%
Meituan
$5,317 交易量
<1%
xAI
$587,192 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$15,657 交易量
<1%
Alibaba
$20,914 交易量
<1%
Nvidia
$10,181 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$287,445 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
市场开放时间： Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$1,694,033结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
交易量
$1,694,033结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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