Claude Code, Anthropic’s agentic coding CLI and terminal-based tool, drives the current market tilt toward the 750k+ outcome at 42% implied probability. Rapid adoption has pushed it to roughly 4% of all public GitHub commits, fueled by Anthropic’s own disclosure that Claude authors over 80% of merged production code internally, with engineers shipping eight times more output than in 2024. Recent version releases (v2.1.174–177 in mid-June) and quality fixes have sustained momentum into the final weeks of the month, while broader developer uptake via CLI, web, and integrations continues to compound daily commit volume. Traders appear to view the trajectory as durable enough to clear higher thresholds before June 30, though any short-term slowdown in usage or attribution changes could still shift the narrower ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于750.0k+ 43%
700.0-750.0k 18.2%
500.0-550.0k 12%
600.0-650.0k 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
<500.0k
6%
500.0-550.0k
12%
550.0-600.0k
11%
600.0-650.0k
12%
650.0-700.0k
8%
700.0-750.0k
18%
750.0k+
43%
750.0k+ 43%
700.0-750.0k 18.2%
500.0-550.0k 12%
600.0-650.0k 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
<500.0k
$883 交易量
6%
500.0-550.0k
$379 交易量
12%
550.0-600.0k
$446 交易量
11%
600.0-650.0k
$388 交易量
12%
650.0-700.0k
$577 交易量
8%
700.0-750.0k
$694 交易量
18%
750.0k+
$651 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.Claude Code, Anthropic’s agentic coding CLI and terminal-based tool, drives the current market tilt toward the 750k+ outcome at 42% implied probability. Rapid adoption has pushed it to roughly 4% of all public GitHub commits, fueled by Anthropic’s own disclosure that Claude authors over 80% of merged production code internally, with engineers shipping eight times more output than in 2024. Recent version releases (v2.1.174–177 in mid-June) and quality fixes have sustained momentum into the final weeks of the month, while broader developer uptake via CLI, web, and integrations continues to compound daily commit volume. Traders appear to view the trajectory as durable enough to clear higher thresholds before June 30, though any short-term slowdown in usage or attribution changes could still shift the narrower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
交易量
$4,018结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.Claude Code, Anthropic’s agentic coding CLI and terminal-based tool, drives the current market tilt toward the 750k+ outcome at 42% implied probability. Rapid adoption has pushed it to roughly 4% of all public GitHub commits, fueled by Anthropic’s own disclosure that Claude authors over 80% of merged production code internally, with engineers shipping eight times more output than in 2024. Recent version releases (v2.1.174–177 in mid-June) and quality fixes have sustained momentum into the final weeks of the month, while broader developer uptake via CLI, web, and integrations continues to compound daily commit volume. Traders appear to view the trajectory as durable enough to clear higher thresholds before June 30, though any short-term slowdown in usage or attribution changes could still shift the narrower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
交易量
$4,018结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude Code, Anthropic’s agentic coding CLI and terminal-based tool, drives the current market tilt toward the 750k+ outcome at 42% implied probability. Rapid adoption has pushed it to roughly 4% of all public GitHub commits, fueled by Anthropic’s own disclosure that Claude authors over 80% of merged production code internally, with engineers shipping eight times more output than in 2024. Recent version releases (v2.1.174–177 in mid-June) and quality fixes have sustained momentum into the final weeks of the month, while broader developer uptake via CLI, web, and integrations continues to compound daily commit volume. Traders appear to view the trajectory as durable enough to clear higher thresholds before June 30, though any short-term slowdown in usage or attribution changes could still shift the narrower ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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