Anthropic’s overwhelming 96% market-implied odds reflect its Claude Opus 4.7 and 4.8 models’ sustained leadership on key coding benchmarks, including top SWE-bench Verified scores above 80% and WebDev Arena Elo ratings, alongside strong adoption in agentic tools like Claude Code and Cursor. These models excel at complex, multi-file refactoring, long-context reasoning, and autonomous workflows that developers prioritize, outpacing GPT-5.5 and Gemini variants in blind evaluations and real-world usage as of mid-June 2026. Recent iterative releases and integrations have reinforced this edge without displacement by competitors. A late-month breakthrough from OpenAI or Google on terminal or agent benchmarks could narrow the gap before resolution, though current momentum favors continued Anthropic dominance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 96.4%
OpenAI 2.0%
Z.ai <1%
xAI <1%
$69,370 交易量
$69,370 交易量
2026-06-30
Anthropic
96%
OpenAI
2%
Z.ai
1%
xAI
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 96.4%
OpenAI 2.0%
Z.ai <1%
xAI <1%
$69,370 交易量
$69,370 交易量
2026-06-30
Anthropic
$9,962 交易量
96%
OpenAI
$8,884 交易量
2%
Z.ai
$8,297 交易量
1%
xAI
$8,462 交易量
1%
Alibaba
$5,774 交易量
<1%
Moonshot
$5,820 交易量
<1%
$6,945 交易量
<1%
Microsoft
$3,593 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$5,779 交易量
<1%
ByteDance
$1,844 交易量
<1%
Meta
$747 交易量
<1%
Baidu
$868 交易量
<1%
Amazon
$894 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$633 交易量
<1%
Meituan
$870 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s overwhelming 96% market-implied odds reflect its Claude Opus 4.7 and 4.8 models’ sustained leadership on key coding benchmarks, including top SWE-bench Verified scores above 80% and WebDev Arena Elo ratings, alongside strong adoption in agentic tools like Claude Code and Cursor. These models excel at complex, multi-file refactoring, long-context reasoning, and autonomous workflows that developers prioritize, outpacing GPT-5.5 and Gemini variants in blind evaluations and real-world usage as of mid-June 2026. Recent iterative releases and integrations have reinforced this edge without displacement by competitors. A late-month breakthrough from OpenAI or Google on terminal or agent benchmarks could narrow the gap before resolution, though current momentum favors continued Anthropic dominance.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
交易量
$69,370结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s overwhelming 96% market-implied odds reflect its Claude Opus 4.7 and 4.8 models’ sustained leadership on key coding benchmarks, including top SWE-bench Verified scores above 80% and WebDev Arena Elo ratings, alongside strong adoption in agentic tools like Claude Code and Cursor. These models excel at complex, multi-file refactoring, long-context reasoning, and autonomous workflows that developers prioritize, outpacing GPT-5.5 and Gemini variants in blind evaluations and real-world usage as of mid-June 2026. Recent iterative releases and integrations have reinforced this edge without displacement by competitors. A late-month breakthrough from OpenAI or Google on terminal or agent benchmarks could narrow the gap before resolution, though current momentum favors continued Anthropic dominance.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$69,370结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s overwhelming 96% market-implied odds reflect its Claude Opus 4.7 and 4.8 models’ sustained leadership on key coding benchmarks, including top SWE-bench Verified scores above 80% and WebDev Arena Elo ratings, alongside strong adoption in agentic tools like Claude Code and Cursor. These models excel at complex, multi-file refactoring, long-context reasoning, and autonomous workflows that developers prioritize, outpacing GPT-5.5 and Gemini variants in blind evaluations and real-world usage as of mid-June 2026. Recent iterative releases and integrations have reinforced this edge without displacement by competitors. A late-month breakthrough from OpenAI or Google on terminal or agent benchmarks could narrow the gap before resolution, though current momentum favors continued Anthropic dominance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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