Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or roadshow announcement since the company's confidential IPO submission in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Secondary market trading reflects compressed valuations around $7-10 billion—down from the 2021 peak of $15 billion—aligning with the 15.2% odds on a sub-$15 billion debut, supported by estimated 2025 revenue of $560-575 million and decelerating growth amid competition from enterprise platforms like Microsoft Teams. No material developments in the past 30 days reinforce delay risks in a selective 2026 tech IPO window, with higher market cap outcomes below 10% odds signaling down-round concerns; a public filing remains the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年6月30日前不上市 77%
低于150亿 15.2%
150亿–200亿美元 7.0%
250–300亿美元 4.9%
$888,774 交易量
$888,774 交易量
2026-06-30
低于150亿
15%
150亿–200亿美元
7%
200–250 亿
1%
250–300亿美元
5%
300亿+
1%
2026年6月30日前不上市
77%
2026年6月30日前不上市 77%
低于150亿 15.2%
150亿–200亿美元 7.0%
250–300亿美元 4.9%
$888,774 交易量
$888,774 交易量
2026-06-30
低于150亿
$298,371 交易量
15%
150亿–200亿美元
$109,394 交易量
7%
200–250 亿
$74,392 交易量
1%
250–300亿美元
$112,896 交易量
5%
300亿+
$100,250 交易量
1%
2026年6月30日前不上市
$193,471 交易量
77%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or roadshow announcement since the company's confidential IPO submission in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Secondary market trading reflects compressed valuations around $7-10 billion—down from the 2021 peak of $15 billion—aligning with the 15.2% odds on a sub-$15 billion debut, supported by estimated 2025 revenue of $560-575 million and decelerating growth amid competition from enterprise platforms like Microsoft Teams. No material developments in the past 30 days reinforce delay risks in a selective 2026 tech IPO window, with higher market cap outcomes below 10% odds signaling down-round concerns; a public filing remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$888,774结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or roadshow announcement since the company's confidential IPO submission in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Secondary market trading reflects compressed valuations around $7-10 billion—down from the 2021 peak of $15 billion—aligning with the 15.2% odds on a sub-$15 billion debut, supported by estimated 2025 revenue of $560-575 million and decelerating growth amid competition from enterprise platforms like Microsoft Teams. No material developments in the past 30 days reinforce delay risks in a selective 2026 tech IPO window, with higher market cap outcomes below 10% odds signaling down-round concerns; a public filing remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$888,774结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76.5% implied probability against a Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or roadshow announcement since the company's confidential IPO submission in January 2026 with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters. Secondary market trading reflects compressed valuations around $7-10 billion—down from the 2021 peak of $15 billion—aligning with the 15.2% odds on a sub-$15 billion debut, supported by estimated 2025 revenue of $560-575 million and decelerating growth amid competition from enterprise platforms like Microsoft Teams. No material developments in the past 30 days reinforce delay risks in a selective 2026 tech IPO window, with higher market cap outcomes below 10% odds signaling down-round concerns; a public filing remains the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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