The dominant 95.8% market-implied probability that Freddie Mac will not complete an IPO by June 30, 2026 stems from entrenched legislative and regulatory barriers surrounding government-sponsored enterprise reform. Congressional action on privatization remains stalled amid partisan divides, while the Federal Housing Finance Agency and Treasury continue to oversee conservatorship without a defined exit path that includes an initial public offering. Historical precedents show that major GSE restructuring requires coordinated legislation, shareholder approvals, and capital raises that typically span multiple election cycles. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include passage of a bipartisan reform bill in the current Congress or an unexpected executive order accelerating a public listing, though both face significant procedural and political hurdles before the June 2026 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于到2026年6月30日前不进行IPO 95.8%
1,500–2,000亿美元 1.5%
3000亿美元以上 <1%
低于1500亿 <1%
$200,646 交易量
$200,646 交易量
2026-06-30
低于1500亿
<1%
1,500–2,000亿美元
2%
200–250亿
<1%
2500–3000亿美元
<1%
3000亿美元以上
1%
到2026年6月30日前不进行IPO
96%
到2026年6月30日前不进行IPO 95.8%
1,500–2,000亿美元 1.5%
3000亿美元以上 <1%
低于1500亿 <1%
$200,646 交易量
$200,646 交易量
2026-06-30
低于1500亿
$81,902 交易量
<1%
1,500–2,000亿美元
$32,469 交易量
2%
200–250亿
$20,034 交易量
<1%
2500–3000亿美元
$6,727 交易量
<1%
3000亿美元以上
$11,975 交易量
1%
到2026年6月30日前不进行IPO
$47,538 交易量
96%
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The dominant 95.8% market-implied probability that Freddie Mac will not complete an IPO by June 30, 2026 stems from entrenched legislative and regulatory barriers surrounding government-sponsored enterprise reform. Congressional action on privatization remains stalled amid partisan divides, while the Federal Housing Finance Agency and Treasury continue to oversee conservatorship without a defined exit path that includes an initial public offering. Historical precedents show that major GSE restructuring requires coordinated legislation, shareholder approvals, and capital raises that typically span multiple election cycles. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include passage of a bipartisan reform bill in the current Congress or an unexpected executive order accelerating a public listing, though both face significant procedural and political hurdles before the June 2026 deadline.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
交易量
$200,646结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The dominant 95.8% market-implied probability that Freddie Mac will not complete an IPO by June 30, 2026 stems from entrenched legislative and regulatory barriers surrounding government-sponsored enterprise reform. Congressional action on privatization remains stalled amid partisan divides, while the Federal Housing Finance Agency and Treasury continue to oversee conservatorship without a defined exit path that includes an initial public offering. Historical precedents show that major GSE restructuring requires coordinated legislation, shareholder approvals, and capital raises that typically span multiple election cycles. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include passage of a bipartisan reform bill in the current Congress or an unexpected executive order accelerating a public listing, though both face significant procedural and political hurdles before the June 2026 deadline.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$200,646结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The dominant 95.8% market-implied probability that Freddie Mac will not complete an IPO by June 30, 2026 stems from entrenched legislative and regulatory barriers surrounding government-sponsored enterprise reform. Congressional action on privatization remains stalled amid partisan divides, while the Federal Housing Finance Agency and Treasury continue to oversee conservatorship without a defined exit path that includes an initial public offering. Historical precedents show that major GSE restructuring requires coordinated legislation, shareholder approvals, and capital raises that typically span multiple election cycles. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include passage of a bipartisan reform bill in the current Congress or an unexpected executive order accelerating a public listing, though both face significant procedural and political hurdles before the June 2026 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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