Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to no Riku Dining Group IPO before June 2026, driven by the absence of pricing confirmation or roadshow updates as the expected May 14 pricing date passes without announcement. The Toronto-based operator of Japanese-style restaurants in Canada and Hong Kong last amended its F-1 filing on March 16, 2026, withdrawing a prior registration to upsize the offering to 5 million Class A shares at $4–$6, targeting $25 million—yet SEC effectiveness remains unconfirmed, and small underwriter Eddid Securities signals limited institutional demand. Thin liquidity amplifies caution amid a quiet IPO calendar; a last-minute pricing could shift odds, but historical delays position low-probability market cap buckets like 110M–130M (3.4%) as speculative tail risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No IPO before June 2026 90%
110M–130M 3.5%
90M–110M 2.6%
130M–150M 1.6%
<90M
1%
90M–110M
3%
110M–130M
3%
130M–150M
2%
150M+
1%
No IPO before June 2026
90%
No IPO before June 2026 90%
110M–130M 3.5%
90M–110M 2.6%
130M–150M 1.6%
<90M
1%
90M–110M
3%
110M–130M
3%
130M–150M
2%
150M+
1%
No IPO before June 2026
90%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 89.5% implied probability to no Riku Dining Group IPO before June 2026, driven by the absence of pricing confirmation or roadshow updates as the expected May 14 pricing date passes without announcement. The Toronto-based operator of Japanese-style restaurants in Canada and Hong Kong last amended its F-1 filing on March 16, 2026, withdrawing a prior registration to upsize the offering to 5 million Class A shares at $4–$6, targeting $25 million—yet SEC effectiveness remains unconfirmed, and small underwriter Eddid Securities signals limited institutional demand. Thin liquidity amplifies caution amid a quiet IPO calendar; a last-minute pricing could shift odds, but historical delays position low-probability market cap buckets like 110M–130M (3.4%) as speculative tail risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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