The SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026, which valued the company above $2 trillion at debut and lifted Musk's estimated net worth to $1.1 trillion per Forbes and Bloomberg trackers, anchors the 99.2% market-implied probability that his fortune exceeds $800 billion on June 30. His roughly 42% SpaceX stake, combined with an 11-12% Tesla holding amid a $1.5 trillion market cap, creates a substantial buffer even after recent TSLA share volatility. With resolution just 16 days away and limited scope for outsized moves in either holding, trader consensus reflects the slim odds of a reversal below the threshold. Only an abrupt equity market selloff or sharp valuation reset in the final weeks could realistically test that positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30?
Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30?
800b+ 99.2%
660-680b <1%
<660b <1%
680-700b <1%
$48,076 交易量
$48,076 交易量
2026-06-30
<660b
<1%
660-680b
<1%
680-700b
<1%
700-720b
<1%
720-740b
<1%
740-760b
<1%
760-780b
<1%
780-800b
<1%
800b+
99%
800b+ 99.2%
660-680b <1%
<660b <1%
680-700b <1%
$48,076 交易量
$48,076 交易量
2026-06-30
<660b
$6,658 交易量
<1%
660-680b
$3,345 交易量
<1%
680-700b
$3,238 交易量
<1%
700-720b
$4,344 交易量
<1%
720-740b
$4,566 交易量
<1%
740-760b
$4,158 交易量
<1%
760-780b
$4,481 交易量
<1%
780-800b
$4,109 交易量
<1%
800b+
$13,177 交易量
99%
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.The SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026, which valued the company above $2 trillion at debut and lifted Musk's estimated net worth to $1.1 trillion per Forbes and Bloomberg trackers, anchors the 99.2% market-implied probability that his fortune exceeds $800 billion on June 30. His roughly 42% SpaceX stake, combined with an 11-12% Tesla holding amid a $1.5 trillion market cap, creates a substantial buffer even after recent TSLA share volatility. With resolution just 16 days away and limited scope for outsized moves in either holding, trader consensus reflects the slim odds of a reversal below the threshold. Only an abrupt equity market selloff or sharp valuation reset in the final weeks could realistically test that positioning.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
交易量
$48,076结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.The SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026, which valued the company above $2 trillion at debut and lifted Musk's estimated net worth to $1.1 trillion per Forbes and Bloomberg trackers, anchors the 99.2% market-implied probability that his fortune exceeds $800 billion on June 30. His roughly 42% SpaceX stake, combined with an 11-12% Tesla holding amid a $1.5 trillion market cap, creates a substantial buffer even after recent TSLA share volatility. With resolution just 16 days away and limited scope for outsized moves in either holding, trader consensus reflects the slim odds of a reversal below the threshold. Only an abrupt equity market selloff or sharp valuation reset in the final weeks could realistically test that positioning.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
交易量
$48,076结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026, which valued the company above $2 trillion at debut and lifted Musk's estimated net worth to $1.1 trillion per Forbes and Bloomberg trackers, anchors the 99.2% market-implied probability that his fortune exceeds $800 billion on June 30. His roughly 42% SpaceX stake, combined with an 11-12% Tesla holding amid a $1.5 trillion market cap, creates a substantial buffer even after recent TSLA share volatility. With resolution just 16 days away and limited scope for outsized moves in either holding, trader consensus reflects the slim odds of a reversal below the threshold. Only an abrupt equity market selloff or sharp valuation reset in the final weeks could realistically test that positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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