**No outcome dominates at 99.1% because xAI was already absorbed into SpaceX via an all-stock merger completed in February 2026, well before the June 30 deadline.** Tesla’s earlier $2 billion investment in xAI converted into SpaceX holdings after that deal, and recent reporting (including a June 17 New York Times piece and SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell’s comments) focuses on longer-term speculation about a broader SpaceX-Tesla combination after the latter’s expected IPO. No official announcements, regulatory filings, or credible leaks indicate an imminent Tesla-xAI (or equivalent) merger in the remaining twelve days. Complex factors including shareholder approvals, antitrust review, and alignment with SpaceX’s public listing timeline make a last-minute announcement highly improbable, though Musk’s history of rapid corporate maneuvers leaves a narrow window for surprise developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$121,809 交易量
$121,809 交易量
2026-06-30
$121,809 交易量
$121,809 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No outcome dominates at 99.1% because xAI was already absorbed into SpaceX via an all-stock merger completed in February 2026, well before the June 30 deadline.**
Tesla’s earlier $2 billion investment in xAI converted into SpaceX holdings after that deal, and recent reporting (including a June 17 New York Times piece and SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell’s comments) focuses on longer-term speculation about a broader SpaceX-Tesla combination after the latter’s expected IPO. No official announcements, regulatory filings, or credible leaks indicate an imminent Tesla-xAI (or equivalent) merger in the remaining twelve days.
Complex factors including shareholder approvals, antitrust review, and alignment with SpaceX’s public listing timeline make a last-minute announcement highly improbable, though Musk’s history of rapid corporate maneuvers leaves a narrow window for surprise developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 29, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
交易量
$121,809结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No outcome dominates at 99.1% because xAI was already absorbed into SpaceX via an all-stock merger completed in February 2026, well before the June 30 deadline.**
Tesla’s earlier $2 billion investment in xAI converted into SpaceX holdings after that deal, and recent reporting (including a June 17 New York Times piece and SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell’s comments) focuses on longer-term speculation about a broader SpaceX-Tesla combination after the latter’s expected IPO. No official announcements, regulatory filings, or credible leaks indicate an imminent Tesla-xAI (or equivalent) merger in the remaining twelve days.
Complex factors including shareholder approvals, antitrust review, and alignment with SpaceX’s public listing timeline make a last-minute announcement highly improbable, though Musk’s history of rapid corporate maneuvers leaves a narrow window for surprise developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$121,809结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**No outcome dominates at 99.1% because xAI was already absorbed into SpaceX via an all-stock merger completed in February 2026, well before the June 30 deadline.** Tesla’s earlier $2 billion investment in xAI converted into SpaceX holdings after that deal, and recent reporting (including a June 17 New York Times piece and SpaceX president Gwynne Shotwell’s comments) focuses on longer-term speculation about a broader SpaceX-Tesla combination after the latter’s expected IPO. No official announcements, regulatory filings, or credible leaks indicate an imminent Tesla-xAI (or equivalent) merger in the remaining twelve days. Complex factors including shareholder approvals, antitrust review, and alignment with SpaceX’s public listing timeline make a last-minute announcement highly improbable, though Musk’s history of rapid corporate maneuvers leaves a narrow window for surprise developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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