Strong demand from Starlink’s revenue growth and Starship progress has driven trader consensus toward a first-day gain, reflected in the 68.5% implied probability for an “Up” close. SpaceX’s May 2026 S-1 filing and accelerated June roadshow ahead of the targeted June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX underscore the company’s $1.75 trillion valuation target at roughly $135 per share—the largest IPO on record. High retail allocation near 30%, secondary-market trading premiums, and comparisons to prior mega-deals like ARM and Alibaba support expectations of an initial pop despite heavy losses and lofty multiples. Pricing is set for June 11, with any last-minute demand signals or market sentiment shifts as the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于涨
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This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strong demand from Starlink’s revenue growth and Starship progress has driven trader consensus toward a first-day gain, reflected in the 68.5% implied probability for an “Up” close. SpaceX’s May 2026 S-1 filing and accelerated June roadshow ahead of the targeted June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX underscore the company’s $1.75 trillion valuation target at roughly $135 per share—the largest IPO on record. High retail allocation near 30%, secondary-market trading premiums, and comparisons to prior mega-deals like ARM and Alibaba support expectations of an initial pop despite heavy losses and lofty multiples. Pricing is set for June 11, with any last-minute demand signals or market sentiment shifts as the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 1:40 AM ET
交易量
$4,398市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 1:40 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strong demand from Starlink’s revenue growth and Starship progress has driven trader consensus toward a first-day gain, reflected in the 68.5% implied probability for an “Up” close. SpaceX’s May 2026 S-1 filing and accelerated June roadshow ahead of the targeted June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX underscore the company’s $1.75 trillion valuation target at roughly $135 per share—the largest IPO on record. High retail allocation near 30%, secondary-market trading premiums, and comparisons to prior mega-deals like ARM and Alibaba support expectations of an initial pop despite heavy losses and lofty multiples. Pricing is set for June 11, with any last-minute demand signals or market sentiment shifts as the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$4,398市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 1:40 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong demand from Starlink’s revenue growth and Starship progress has driven trader consensus toward a first-day gain, reflected in the 68.5% implied probability for an “Up” close. SpaceX’s May 2026 S-1 filing and accelerated June roadshow ahead of the targeted June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX underscore the company’s $1.75 trillion valuation target at roughly $135 per share—the largest IPO on record. High retail allocation near 30%, secondary-market trading premiums, and comparisons to prior mega-deals like ARM and Alibaba support expectations of an initial pop despite heavy losses and lofty multiples. Pricing is set for June 11, with any last-minute demand signals or market sentiment shifts as the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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