Anthropic holds a commanding lead in market-implied odds for the strongest math-focused large language model by end of May, driven by Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview variants that have posted leading scores on FrontierMath and extended-reasoning benchmarks in recent weeks. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s consistent edge in multi-step mathematical problem-solving and chain-of-thought transparency over OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro, which trail on the same expert-level suites despite strong AIME and GPQA results. The narrow gap between OpenAI and Google reflects ongoing benchmark volatility and the absence of decisive new releases since early May. With resolution just two weeks away, any final model update or independent evaluation could still shift sentiment before the May 31 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 63%
OpenAI 18%
Google 15%
xAI <1%
$114,388 交易量
$114,388 交易量
2026-05-31
Anthropic
63%
OpenAI
18%
15%
xAI
1%
ByteDance
1%
Z.ai
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
Baidu
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 63%
OpenAI 18%
Google 15%
xAI <1%
$114,388 交易量
$114,388 交易量
2026-05-31
Anthropic
$18,209 交易量
63%
OpenAI
$18,662 交易量
18%
$11,032 交易量
15%
xAI
$8,724 交易量
1%
ByteDance
$6,720 交易量
1%
Z.ai
$6,536 交易量
1%
DeepSeek
$6,392 交易量
1%
Meta
$6,348 交易量
1%
Baidu
$6,786 交易量
<1%
Alibaba
$7,026 交易量
<1%
Moonshot
$7,869 交易量
<1%
Amazon
$2,116 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$4,546 交易量
<1%
Meituan
$1,909 交易量
<1%
Microsoft
$1,512 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds a commanding lead in market-implied odds for the strongest math-focused large language model by end of May, driven by Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview variants that have posted leading scores on FrontierMath and extended-reasoning benchmarks in recent weeks. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s consistent edge in multi-step mathematical problem-solving and chain-of-thought transparency over OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro, which trail on the same expert-level suites despite strong AIME and GPQA results. The narrow gap between OpenAI and Google reflects ongoing benchmark volatility and the absence of decisive new releases since early May. With resolution just two weeks away, any final model update or independent evaluation could still shift sentiment before the May 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
交易量
$114,388结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds a commanding lead in market-implied odds for the strongest math-focused large language model by end of May, driven by Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview variants that have posted leading scores on FrontierMath and extended-reasoning benchmarks in recent weeks. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s consistent edge in multi-step mathematical problem-solving and chain-of-thought transparency over OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro, which trail on the same expert-level suites despite strong AIME and GPQA results. The narrow gap between OpenAI and Google reflects ongoing benchmark volatility and the absence of decisive new releases since early May. With resolution just two weeks away, any final model update or independent evaluation could still shift sentiment before the May 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$114,388结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a commanding lead in market-implied odds for the strongest math-focused large language model by end of May, driven by Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview variants that have posted leading scores on FrontierMath and extended-reasoning benchmarks in recent weeks. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s consistent edge in multi-step mathematical problem-solving and chain-of-thought transparency over OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro, which trail on the same expert-level suites despite strong AIME and GPQA results. The narrow gap between OpenAI and Google reflects ongoing benchmark volatility and the absence of decisive new releases since early May. With resolution just two weeks away, any final model update or independent evaluation could still shift sentiment before the May 31 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题