Recent FOMC meetings have featured elevated dissent levels amid sticky inflation near 3.5% and resilient growth, with the July 2026 decision passing 9-3 and three members favoring a 25-basis-point hike. Markets currently price the federal funds rate near 3.63% with futures implying gradual tightening into 2027, reflecting trader skepticism that the 2% target will be achieved swiftly. For the January 2027 meeting—well beyond the September 2026 decision point and upcoming CPI and employment releases—high uncertainty over data trajectories, potential leadership transitions, and divergent views on the neutral rate produce closely balanced probabilities across 0–4+ dissents. The spread underscores the difficulty of forecasting committee cohesion this far ahead, where even modest shifts in inflation or labor data could alter the vote margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在1月份的美联储会议上有多少异议？
在1月份的美联储会议上有多少异议？
2 27%
3 24%
1 21%
0 19%
最新
最新
2027-01-27
0
19%
1
21%
2
24%
3
24%
4人及以上
18%
2 27%
3 24%
1 21%
0 19%
最新
最新
2027-01-27
0
$1,030 交易量
19%
1
$342 交易量
21%
2
$93 交易量
24%
3
$4,188 交易量
24%
4人及以上
$231 交易量
18%
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings have featured elevated dissent levels amid sticky inflation near 3.5% and resilient growth, with the July 2026 decision passing 9-3 and three members favoring a 25-basis-point hike. Markets currently price the federal funds rate near 3.63% with futures implying gradual tightening into 2027, reflecting trader skepticism that the 2% target will be achieved swiftly. For the January 2027 meeting—well beyond the September 2026 decision point and upcoming CPI and employment releases—high uncertainty over data trajectories, potential leadership transitions, and divergent views on the neutral rate produce closely balanced probabilities across 0–4+ dissents. The spread underscores the difficulty of forecasting committee cohesion this far ahead, where even modest shifts in inflation or labor data could alter the vote margin.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
交易量
$5,885结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings have featured elevated dissent levels amid sticky inflation near 3.5% and resilient growth, with the July 2026 decision passing 9-3 and three members favoring a 25-basis-point hike. Markets currently price the federal funds rate near 3.63% with futures implying gradual tightening into 2027, reflecting trader skepticism that the 2% target will be achieved swiftly. For the January 2027 meeting—well beyond the September 2026 decision point and upcoming CPI and employment releases—high uncertainty over data trajectories, potential leadership transitions, and divergent views on the neutral rate produce closely balanced probabilities across 0–4+ dissents. The spread underscores the difficulty of forecasting committee cohesion this far ahead, where even modest shifts in inflation or labor data could alter the vote margin.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$5,885结束日期
2027-01-27市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings have featured elevated dissent levels amid sticky inflation near 3.5% and resilient growth, with the July 2026 decision passing 9-3 and three members favoring a 25-basis-point hike. Markets currently price the federal funds rate near 3.63% with futures implying gradual tightening into 2027, reflecting trader skepticism that the 2% target will be achieved swiftly. For the January 2027 meeting—well beyond the September 2026 decision point and upcoming CPI and employment releases—high uncertainty over data trajectories, potential leadership transitions, and divergent views on the neutral rate produce closely balanced probabilities across 0–4+ dissents. The spread underscores the difficulty of forecasting committee cohesion this far ahead, where even modest shifts in inflation or labor data could alter the vote margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题