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icon for 美联储在2027年之前被废除？
经济·特朗普

美联储在2027年之前被废除？

icon for 美联储在2027年之前被废除？
经济·特朗普

美联储在2027年之前被废除？

12月 31

12月 31

是

3% 概率
Polymarket
最新

是

3% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 96.6% probability against the Federal Reserve being abolished before 2027, driven by the central bank's entrenched role in monetary policy and the absence of viable legislative momentum. Symbolic bills like H.R.1846 (Rep. Massie) and S.869 (Sen. Lee), introduced in March 2025 to repeal the Federal Reserve Act, remain stalled in committee with no hearings or votes in the 119th Congress. Recent Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as Fed chair on May 14, 2026—despite Trump's rate-cut pressures amid rising inflation—signals institutional continuity over radical overhaul. Tail risks include a severe economic crisis prompting bipartisan reform or executive overreach, though constitutional hurdles and market disruption fears make these improbable. Key watchpoint: lame-duck session post-2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$4,103
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 96.6% probability against the Federal Reserve being abolished before 2027, driven by the central bank's entrenched role in monetary policy and the absence of viable legislative momentum. Symbolic bills like H.R.1846 (Rep. Massie) and S.869 (Sen. Lee), introduced in March 2025 to repeal the Federal Reserve Act, remain stalled in committee with no hearings or votes in the 119th Congress. Recent Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as Fed chair on May 14, 2026—despite Trump's rate-cut pressures amid rising inflation—signals institutional continuity over radical overhaul. Tail risks include a severe economic crisis prompting bipartisan reform or executive overreach, though constitutional hurdles and market disruption fears make these improbable. Key watchpoint: lame-duck session post-2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$4,103
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"美联储在2027年之前被废除？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2027年前美联储被废除？"，概率为 3%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 3¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 3%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"美联储在2027年之前被废除？"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Nov 5, 2025上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"美联储在2027年之前被废除？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"美联储在2027年之前被废除？"的当前领先者是"2027年前美联储被废除？"，仅有 3%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势，交易者认为这高度不确定，可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新，请将本页加入书签。

"美联储在2027年之前被废除？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。