Polymarket traders assign a leading 32.3% implied probability to Argentina's 2026 annual inflation landing in the 30.0-34.9% range, closely contested by 35-39.9% (24.6%) and 25-29.9% (23.5%) bins, mirroring the Central Bank's May 7 survey where analysts raised year-end CPI forecasts to a median 30.5%—up 1.4 percentage points amid sticky monthly pressures. March year-on-year CPI eased marginally to 32.6% but featured a 3.4% monthly increase, the highest of 2026 so far, fueling revisions from earlier sub-30% estimates due to persistent core inflation and energy cost risks despite Milei's fiscal austerity. Key swing factors include April CPI data—due imminently—and sustained monetary tightening, with disinflation momentum versus global commodity shocks determining resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于35–39.9% 26.2%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
40-44.9% 22.9%
25-29.9% 20%
最新
最新
2027-01-10
低于20%
7%
20-24.9%
19%
25-29.9%
25%
30.0-34.9%
33%
35–39.9%
26%
40-44.9%
23%
45%以上
10%
35–39.9% 26.2%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
40-44.9% 22.9%
25-29.9% 20%
最新
最新
2027-01-10
低于20%
$2,516 交易量
7%
20-24.9%
$1,429 交易量
19%
25-29.9%
$1,626 交易量
25%
30.0-34.9%
$976 交易量
33%
35–39.9%
$1,094 交易量
26%
40-44.9%
$928 交易量
23%
45%以上
$1,156 交易量
10%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders assign a leading 32.3% implied probability to Argentina's 2026 annual inflation landing in the 30.0-34.9% range, closely contested by 35-39.9% (24.6%) and 25-29.9% (23.5%) bins, mirroring the Central Bank's May 7 survey where analysts raised year-end CPI forecasts to a median 30.5%—up 1.4 percentage points amid sticky monthly pressures. March year-on-year CPI eased marginally to 32.6% but featured a 3.4% monthly increase, the highest of 2026 so far, fueling revisions from earlier sub-30% estimates due to persistent core inflation and energy cost risks despite Milei's fiscal austerity. Key swing factors include April CPI data—due imminently—and sustained monetary tightening, with disinflation momentum versus global commodity shocks determining resolution.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
交易量
$9,725结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders assign a leading 32.3% implied probability to Argentina's 2026 annual inflation landing in the 30.0-34.9% range, closely contested by 35-39.9% (24.6%) and 25-29.9% (23.5%) bins, mirroring the Central Bank's May 7 survey where analysts raised year-end CPI forecasts to a median 30.5%—up 1.4 percentage points amid sticky monthly pressures. March year-on-year CPI eased marginally to 32.6% but featured a 3.4% monthly increase, the highest of 2026 so far, fueling revisions from earlier sub-30% estimates due to persistent core inflation and energy cost risks despite Milei's fiscal austerity. Key swing factors include April CPI data—due imminently—and sustained monetary tightening, with disinflation momentum versus global commodity shocks determining resolution.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$9,725结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a leading 32.3% implied probability to Argentina's 2026 annual inflation landing in the 30.0-34.9% range, closely contested by 35-39.9% (24.6%) and 25-29.9% (23.5%) bins, mirroring the Central Bank's May 7 survey where analysts raised year-end CPI forecasts to a median 30.5%—up 1.4 percentage points amid sticky monthly pressures. March year-on-year CPI eased marginally to 32.6% but featured a 3.4% monthly increase, the highest of 2026 so far, fueling revisions from earlier sub-30% estimates due to persistent core inflation and energy cost risks despite Milei's fiscal austerity. Key swing factors include April CPI data—due imminently—and sustained monetary tightening, with disinflation momentum versus global commodity shocks determining resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题