Trader sentiment on ground beef price thresholds for 2026 hinges on chronically tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd hitting a 75-year low of 86.2 million head on January 1 amid ongoing herd liquidation from prior droughts and elevated feed costs tied to corn prices exceeding $5 per bushel. BLS data shows average retail prices for all uncooked ground beef reaching $6.90 per pound in April 2026— a record high—up over 20% year-over-year, fueled by declining commercial beef production forecasts of 25.8 billion pounds for the year. Robust consumer demand and strong exports sustain upward dynamics despite policy pledges for relief; watch monthly BLS average price updates through December and the July cattle inventory report for resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,653 交易量
2026-12-31
7.000美元以上
76%
8.000美元+
50%
$9.000+
39%
10.000美元以上
18%
$18,653 交易量
7.000美元以上
$50 交易量
76%
8.000美元+
$1,474 交易量
50%
$9.000+
$22 交易量
39%
10.000美元以上
$17,107 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment on ground beef price thresholds for 2026 hinges on chronically tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd hitting a 75-year low of 86.2 million head on January 1 amid ongoing herd liquidation from prior droughts and elevated feed costs tied to corn prices exceeding $5 per bushel. BLS data shows average retail prices for all uncooked ground beef reaching $6.90 per pound in April 2026— a record high—up over 20% year-over-year, fueled by declining commercial beef production forecasts of 25.8 billion pounds for the year. Robust consumer demand and strong exports sustain upward dynamics despite policy pledges for relief; watch monthly BLS average price updates through December and the July cattle inventory report for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$18,653结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment on ground beef price thresholds for 2026 hinges on chronically tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd hitting a 75-year low of 86.2 million head on January 1 amid ongoing herd liquidation from prior droughts and elevated feed costs tied to corn prices exceeding $5 per bushel. BLS data shows average retail prices for all uncooked ground beef reaching $6.90 per pound in April 2026— a record high—up over 20% year-over-year, fueled by declining commercial beef production forecasts of 25.8 billion pounds for the year. Robust consumer demand and strong exports sustain upward dynamics despite policy pledges for relief; watch monthly BLS average price updates through December and the July cattle inventory report for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$18,653结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on ground beef price thresholds for 2026 hinges on chronically tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd hitting a 75-year low of 86.2 million head on January 1 amid ongoing herd liquidation from prior droughts and elevated feed costs tied to corn prices exceeding $5 per bushel. BLS data shows average retail prices for all uncooked ground beef reaching $6.90 per pound in April 2026— a record high—up over 20% year-over-year, fueled by declining commercial beef production forecasts of 25.8 billion pounds for the year. Robust consumer demand and strong exports sustain upward dynamics despite policy pledges for relief; watch monthly BLS average price updates through December and the July cattle inventory report for resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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