Tightening U.S. cattle inventories, at their lowest since 1951 with the beef cow herd near 27.6 million head, are the main driver behind ground beef prices reaching record levels near $6.89 per pound as of July 2026. Domestic beef production is forecast to decline nearly 1% this year after a steeper drop in 2025, with non-fed slaughter remaining constrained and lean trim supplies tight despite an 18% rise in imports. Strong consumer demand has sustained retail prices above $9 per pound on average, while USDA projections call for an additional 9-10% increase in beef prices for 2026. Markets are watching for any late-year moderation as the cattle cycle potentially stabilizes and per-capita supplies edge higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,425 交易量
2026-12-31
7.000美元以上
50%
8.000美元+
51%
$9.000+
16%
10.000美元以上
14%
$21,425 交易量
7.000美元以上
$59 交易量
50%
8.000美元+
$1,918 交易量
51%
$9.000+
$740 交易量
16%
10.000美元以上
$18,707 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tightening U.S. cattle inventories, at their lowest since 1951 with the beef cow herd near 27.6 million head, are the main driver behind ground beef prices reaching record levels near $6.89 per pound as of July 2026. Domestic beef production is forecast to decline nearly 1% this year after a steeper drop in 2025, with non-fed slaughter remaining constrained and lean trim supplies tight despite an 18% rise in imports. Strong consumer demand has sustained retail prices above $9 per pound on average, while USDA projections call for an additional 9-10% increase in beef prices for 2026. Markets are watching for any late-year moderation as the cattle cycle potentially stabilizes and per-capita supplies edge higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$21,425结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tightening U.S. cattle inventories, at their lowest since 1951 with the beef cow herd near 27.6 million head, are the main driver behind ground beef prices reaching record levels near $6.89 per pound as of July 2026. Domestic beef production is forecast to decline nearly 1% this year after a steeper drop in 2025, with non-fed slaughter remaining constrained and lean trim supplies tight despite an 18% rise in imports. Strong consumer demand has sustained retail prices above $9 per pound on average, while USDA projections call for an additional 9-10% increase in beef prices for 2026. Markets are watching for any late-year moderation as the cattle cycle potentially stabilizes and per-capita supplies edge higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$21,425结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tightening U.S. cattle inventories, at their lowest since 1951 with the beef cow herd near 27.6 million head, are the main driver behind ground beef prices reaching record levels near $6.89 per pound as of July 2026. Domestic beef production is forecast to decline nearly 1% this year after a steeper drop in 2025, with non-fed slaughter remaining constrained and lean trim supplies tight despite an 18% rise in imports. Strong consumer demand has sustained retail prices above $9 per pound on average, while USDA projections call for an additional 9-10% increase in beef prices for 2026. Markets are watching for any late-year moderation as the cattle cycle potentially stabilizes and per-capita supplies edge higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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