Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by accelerating job cuts already surpassing last year's pace by 33% year-to-date, with over 85,000 roles eliminated amid AI-driven restructurings at firms like Cloudflare, Coinbase, Upwork, Meta, and Microsoft. Recent May announcements, including thousands of positions axed to redirect capital toward AI infrastructure and data centers, have intensified sentiment, as companies prioritize machine learning efficiencies over headcount in software, fintech, and cloud sectors. While overall U.S. layoffs have declined 10%, tech's divergence underscores persistent restructuring pressures, with upcoming waves at Meta and voluntary programs at Microsoft as key catalysts that could push totals well beyond 2025's roughly 245,000 global cuts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于上升
$25,123 交易量
$25,123 交易量
2027-02-28
上升
$25,123 交易量
$25,123 交易量
2027-02-28
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by accelerating job cuts already surpassing last year's pace by 33% year-to-date, with over 85,000 roles eliminated amid AI-driven restructurings at firms like Cloudflare, Coinbase, Upwork, Meta, and Microsoft. Recent May announcements, including thousands of positions axed to redirect capital toward AI infrastructure and data centers, have intensified sentiment, as companies prioritize machine learning efficiencies over headcount in software, fintech, and cloud sectors. While overall U.S. layoffs have declined 10%, tech's divergence underscores persistent restructuring pressures, with upcoming waves at Meta and voluntary programs at Microsoft as key catalysts that could push totals well beyond 2025's roughly 245,000 global cuts.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
交易量
$25,123结束日期
2027-02-28市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by accelerating job cuts already surpassing last year's pace by 33% year-to-date, with over 85,000 roles eliminated amid AI-driven restructurings at firms like Cloudflare, Coinbase, Upwork, Meta, and Microsoft. Recent May announcements, including thousands of positions axed to redirect capital toward AI infrastructure and data centers, have intensified sentiment, as companies prioritize machine learning efficiencies over headcount in software, fintech, and cloud sectors. While overall U.S. layoffs have declined 10%, tech's divergence underscores persistent restructuring pressures, with upcoming waves at Meta and voluntary programs at Microsoft as key catalysts that could push totals well beyond 2025's roughly 245,000 global cuts.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$25,123结束日期
2027-02-28市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by accelerating job cuts already surpassing last year's pace by 33% year-to-date, with over 85,000 roles eliminated amid AI-driven restructurings at firms like Cloudflare, Coinbase, Upwork, Meta, and Microsoft. Recent May announcements, including thousands of positions axed to redirect capital toward AI infrastructure and data centers, have intensified sentiment, as companies prioritize machine learning efficiencies over headcount in software, fintech, and cloud sectors. While overall U.S. layoffs have declined 10%, tech's divergence underscores persistent restructuring pressures, with upcoming waves at Meta and voluntary programs at Microsoft as key catalysts that could push totals well beyond 2025's roughly 245,000 global cuts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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